Borussia Dortmund vs 09.10.26 18:302 – 2Full Time
Werder Bremen — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Werder Bremen pegged back Borussia Dortmund from two goals down in a 2-2 draw
Borussia Dortmund were held to a 2-2 draw by Werder Bremen at Signal Iduna Park in a Bundesliga matchday five fixture that burst into life only in the closing stages. Bremen came from two goals down to draw, ending Dortmund's run of 6 wins in a row, although the home side stayed top of the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half finished goalless and the deadlock lasted until the 80th minute, when Daniel Svensson converted a Fábio Silva assist to make it 1-0. Five minutes later Nico Schlotterbeck added a second from a Joey Veerman delivery, and Dortmund appeared to have the points secured.
Bremen, who had been dominated for long spells, struck back in the 88th minute through Ludovit Reis, set up by Oskar Wójcik. Niclas Füllkrug then levelled in the 90+2 minute from a Marco Grüll assist to complete the recovery. Dortmund, who had 72% of possession and 21 shots to 11, are now unbeaten in 7 games.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 17% chance. Dortmund finished the round on 13 points, five clear of fourth-placed Bremen on 8. Bremen next host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October.
Karl Hein earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.19, for Bremen. Schlotterbeck, rated 7.91, scored Dortmund's second goal.
Dortmund held 72% of possession, yet Bremen took two of their four shots on target in the final minutes to earn the draw.
Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen drew 2–2 (half-time 0–0).
Borussia Dortmund met Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Friday, 9 October 2026, 18:30 UTC at Signal Iduna Park. Referee: Christian Dingert. Attendance: 81,365.
Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 80' Goal: Daniel Svensson (assist: Fábio Silva) — 1–0 · Watch Daniel Svensson's goal video (80')
- 85' Goal: Nico Schlotterbeck (assist: Joey Veerman) — 2–0 · Watch Nico Schlotterbeck's goal video (85')
- 88' Goal: Ludovit Reis (assist: Oskar Wójcik) — 2–1 · Watch Ludovit Reis's goal video (88')
- 90+2' Goal: Niclas Füllkrug (assist: Marco Grüll) — 2–2 · Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal video (90+2')
Starting line-ups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Werder Bremen (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Karl Hein
- 2 Olivier Deman
- 32 Marco Friedl
- 5 Amos Pieper
- 13 Arthur
- 44 Youri Regeer
- 15 Ludovit Reis
- 17 Marco Grüll
- 20 Chuki
- 18 Eren Dinkçi
- 10 Niclas Füllkrug
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Borussia Dortmund 73%, the draw 17%, Werder Bremen 10%. It finished Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen.
Borussia Dortmund's rating gap decides it — Borussia Dortmund are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Borussia Dortmund's 73%. The draw at 17% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Borussia Dortmund at 73%?
Borussia Dortmund sit 279 points higher on our strength rating — 1876 to 1596. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.3% of 5,547 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–18–10.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Borussia Dortmund's column. Across 11,249 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,841. The goals environment takes 1.4 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Werder Bremen come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 12 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Doubtful: Julian Ryerson, a star player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Daniel Svensson's goal against Werder Bremen (80').
- Watch Nico Schlotterbeck's goal against Werder Bremen (85').
- Watch Ludovit Reis's goal against Borussia Dortmund (88').
- Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal against Borussia Dortmund (90+2').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen. Explore more on the Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen team pages or the Bundesliga page.