Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 4′SC Paderborn 07, yellow card:
- 18′SC Paderborn 07, goal:0–1assist
- 30′SC Paderborn 07, goal:0–2
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- 59′Werder Bremen, goal:1–2assist
- 63′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- 65′Werder Bremen, penalty goal:2–2Penalty
- 66′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 66′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 75′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 75′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 79′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- 86′Werder Bremen, yellow card:
- 88′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 88′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
Match report
Werder Bremen recover from two goals down to draw with SC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen drew 2-2 with SC Paderborn 07 at the Weser-Stadion on Bundesliga matchday 6, hauling themselves level after trailing by two goals at half-time. Paderborn had been in command until the interval, but a second-half revival from the hosts, led by Niclas Füllkrug, denied them a first win of the afternoon.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Paderborn struck first in the 18th minute, when Stefano Marino scored from a Steffen Tigges assist. Tigges added a goal of his own in the 30th minute to make it 2-0, and the visitors went into the break with that lead. Bremen had been dominant on the ball without reward, and the half-time scoreline said little about how the game had been played.
The comeback began in the 59th minute, when Füllkrug converted from an Eren Dinkçi assist to make it 1-2. Six minutes later, in the 65th minute, he scored from the penalty spot to level the match at 2-2. Neither side found a winner. The point left Bremen seventh on nine points, with Paderborn 15th on five. Both clubs play on Saturday 24 October: Bremen are away to FSV Mainz 05, while Paderborn host Hamburger SV, both in the Bundesliga.
Füllkrug scored twice, the second from the penalty spot, and was rated 8.18, while Nahuel Noll topped the ratings for Paderborn with 8.98. Youri Regeer also impressed for the hosts with a rating of 7.72.
Bremen had 11 shots on target to Paderborn's 4, yet they needed two second-half goals just to draw.
Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 drew 2–2 (half-time 0–2).
Werder Bremen met SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC at Weser-Stadion. Referee: Robert Schroder. Attendance: 40,517.
Team pages: Werder Bremen · SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Stefano Marino (assist: Steffen Tigges) — 0–1 · Watch Stefano Marino's goal video (18')
- 30' Goal: Steffen Tigges — 0–2
- 59' Goal: Niclas Füllkrug (assist: Eren Dinkçi) — 1–2 · Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal video (59')
- 65' Goal (penalty): Niclas Füllkrug — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Werder Bremen (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Karl Hein
- 2 Olivier Deman
- 32 Marco Friedl
- 5 Amos Pieper
- 13 Arthur
- 44 Youri Regeer
- 15 Ludovit Reis
- 17 Marco Grüll
- 20 Chuki
- 18 Eren Dinkçi
- 10 Niclas Füllkrug
SC Paderborn 07 (3-1-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Werder Bremen 49%, the draw 27%, SC Paderborn 07 24%. It finished Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07.
Bremen's strength edge, trimmed by the early season — Werder Bremen sit 71 points higher on our strength rating, 1608 to 1537, and with home advantage we give them 49%, though both sides being inside their first six league games trims that, as home wins land softer this early. The draw sits at 27%, starting from the usual rate for this gap and nudged up slightly by the early-season timing.
Why Werder Bremen at 49%?
Werder Bremen sit 71 points higher on our strength rating — 1608 to 1537. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,400 such games.
Why only 49%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Werder Bremen's column. Across 11,298 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the SC Paderborn 07 win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Werder Bremen come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 12 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). SC Paderborn 07 come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 7 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Stefano Marino's goal against Werder Bremen (18').
- Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal against SC Paderborn 07 (59').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07. Explore more on the Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 team pages or the Bundesliga page.

