Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 1′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:
- 7′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:
- 14′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:
- 33′Union Berlin, yellow card:
- 35′Union Berlin, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Union Berlin, substitution:off
- 62′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 62′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 63′Union Berlin, yellow card:
- 70′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 70′Union Berlin, substitution:off
- 76′Union Berlin, substitution:off
- 76′Union Berlin, substitution:off
- 90+3′Union Berlin, substitution:off
- Full-time
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Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Match report
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund share a goalless draw at An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund drew 0-0 in a Bundesliga Matchday 6 fixture at An der Alten Försterei, with neither side able to break the deadlock in either half. The visitors held the ball for 63% of the contest, but the hosts defended well enough to leave with a point.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Dortmund created the better openings without turning them into goals. They had 12 shots to Union's 11 and put two of them on target, while their expected goals figure of 1.42 compared with 0.9 for Union. The hosts failed to register a single shot on target, and both sides won five corners.
It was a tight, niggly afternoon, with 13 fouls from Union and 12 from Dortmund and three yellow cards for each side. No one was sent off, and the match produced no goals to alter the pattern of play.
The point lifted Union to 5 points in 16th place, while Dortmund stayed top on 14 points, nine clear of their hosts. Union travel to FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October, and Dortmund are away to Sabah FA in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 20 October. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 20% chance.
Waldemar Anton earned the highest rating of any player, 7.87, helping Dortmund keep Union without a shot on target. Kouakou Joane Gadou (7.77) and Julian Ryerson (7.56) were also among the visitors' best-rated performers.
Union Berlin failed to register a single shot on target from their 11 attempts, while Dortmund managed two from 12.
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Union Berlin met Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC at An der Alten Försterei. Referee: Daniel Schlager. Attendance: 22,012.
Team pages: Union Berlin · Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
Starting line-ups
Union Berlin (4-2-3-1)
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Union Berlin 13%, the draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 67%. It finished Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund's strength gap drives a clear lead — We give Borussia Dortmund 67% mainly because our strength rating has them 286 points higher, 1851 to 1565, and the early-season timing trims Union Berlin's home chances further. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with high-scoring recent games nudging it down and the early season nudging it up.
Why Borussia Dortmund at 67%?
Borussia Dortmund sit 286 points higher on our strength rating — 1851 to 1565. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 5,873 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Union Berlin's column. Across 11,298 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 14–20–66.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Union Berlin at 13%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Borussia Dortmund have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Union Berlin in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Union Berlin have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund. Explore more on the Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund team pages or the Bundesliga page.