FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 24′FSV Mainz 05, goal:0–1assist
- 42′FSV Mainz 05, yellow card:
- 45′FSV Mainz 05, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 60′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 60′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 71′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 71′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 76′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 76′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 79′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 86′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 90+1′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 90+1′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
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FC Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
Match report
Tietz strikes once as Mainz 05 edge past Schalke 04 at the VELTINS-Arena
FSV Mainz 05 won 1-0 at FC Schalke 04 in a Bundesliga Matchday 6 fixture at the VELTINS-Arena, Phillip Tietz scoring the only goal in the 24th minute. The result lifted Urs Fischer's side from ninth to fifth in the table, while Schalke stayed 14th on five points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The decisive moment came after 24 minutes, when Anthony Caci supplied the pass and Tietz finished to put the visitors in front. Neither side added to the scoreline before the interval, and the second half brought no further goals, leaving Mainz to protect a narrow lead through the closing stages.
Mainz were the sharper side in front of goal despite having only slightly more of the ball. They had 54 per cent of possession and put six of their ten shots on target, against three from nine for Schalke. Schalke won four corners to Mainz's one but could not turn that pressure into an equaliser.
Mainz next host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October, the same day Schalke travel to 1. FC Köln.
Tietz scored the winning goal and took the top rating of the match, 7.58. Alexander Schwolow, on 7.49, was close behind in goal for Mainz as they kept a clean sheet.
Mainz hit the target with six of their ten shots, twice as many on-target efforts as Schalke's three from nine.
FSV Mainz 05 won 1–0 away against FC Schalke 04 (half-time 0–1).
FC Schalke 04 met FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC at VELTINS-Arena. Referee: Richard Hempel. Attendance: 62,250.
Team pages: FC Schalke 04 · FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 24' Goal: Phillip Tietz (assist: Anthony Caci) — 0–1 · Watch Phillip Tietz's goal video (24')
Starting line-ups
FC Schalke 04 (3-4-2-1)
FSV Mainz 05 (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Schalke 04 23%, the draw 24%, FSV Mainz 05 53%. It finished FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05.
Mainz's stronger rating puts them in front — We give FSV Mainz 05 53% mainly because our strength rating has them 162 points higher, 1674 to 1512, and the early-season timing trims Schalke's home chances a little further. The draw sits at 24%, just under the usual 25% for a gap this size, as both sides' high-scoring recent games outweigh the slight early-season lift.
Why FSV Mainz 05 at 53%?
FSV Mainz 05 sit 162 points higher on our strength rating — 1674 to 1512. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,689 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims FC Schalke 04's column. Across 11,298 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–22–46.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and FC Schalke 04 at 23%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Schalke 04 are unbeaten in their last 16 home league games: 11 wins and 5 draws. The run began on 26 September 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 13 September 2025 — FC Schalke 04 0–1 Holstein Kiel. Latest home league result: 20 September 2026 — FC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg. Across 13,724 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. FC Schalke 04 are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05. Explore more on the FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 team pages or the Bundesliga page.