SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 2′SV Elversberg, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 4′SV Elversberg, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 4′SV Elversberg, goal:1–0assist
- 7′SV Elversberg, goal:2–0assist
- 28′SV Elversberg, goal:3–0assist
- 30′FC Augsburg, yellow card:
- 30′FC Augsburg, yellow card:
- 40′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 40′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 45+7′FC Augsburg, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 45+9′FC Augsburg, penalty goal:3–1Penalty
- Half-time3 – 1
- 46′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 46′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 46′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 52′FC Augsburg, yellow card:
- 54′SV Elversberg, yellow card:
- 74′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 74′FC Augsburg, substitution:off
- 75′SV Elversberg, yellow card:
- 76′FC Augsburg, penalty goal:3–2Penalty
- 77′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 78′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 79′SV Elversberg, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 84′SV Elversberg, yellow card:
- 87′FC Augsburg, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 89′SV Elversberg, goal:4–2assist
- 90′FC Augsburg, goal:4–3assist
- 90+3′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 90+6′SV Elversberg, yellow card:
- 90+8′SV Elversberg, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- Full-time4 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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SV Elversberg
FC Augsburg
Match report
SV Elversberg survive late FC Augsburg fightback to win seven-goal thriller
SV Elversberg beat FC Augsburg 4-3 in a Bundesliga matchday six game at the Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, holding on after their visitors scored three times to turn a comfortable lead into a nervy finish. The result ended a run of three games without a win for the home side.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Elversberg were in front within seven minutes. Lukas Petkov scored in the fourth minute from Maurice Krattenmacher's assist, and Lasse Günther added a second in the seventh, again set up by Krattenmacher. Maximilian Rohr made it 3-0 in the 28th minute from Felix Keidel's pass, and the hosts appeared to be in control.
Augsburg refused to fade. Fabian Rieder converted a penalty in the 45+9 minute to make it 3-1 at the break, and Michael Gregoritsch scored from the spot in the 76th minute to cut the deficit to 3-2. Frederik Schmahl, set up by Petkov, restored the two-goal cushion in the 89th minute, but Mert Kömür replied from Hennes Behrens's assist in the 90th.
The win lifted Elversberg to sixth in the table on 10 points, while Augsburg, who had started the day in sixth, dropped to tenth on eight. Both sides play again on Saturday 24 October, Elversberg away to RB Leipzig and Augsburg at home to Union Berlin.
Hennes Behrens, the top-rated performer with 8.27, set up Kömür's 90th-minute goal that made the finish tense. Günther, rated 7.91, scored Elversberg's second after seven minutes.
Augsburg won the corner count 12 to 4, though they still finished a goal short.
SV Elversberg beat FC Augsburg 4–3 (half-time 3–1).
SV Elversberg met FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde. Referee: Florian Exner. Attendance: 9,307.
Team pages: SV Elversberg · FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Lukas Petkov (assist: Maurice Krattenmacher) — 1–0 · Watch Lukas Petkov's goal video (4')
- 7' Goal: Lasse Günther (assist: Maurice Krattenmacher) — 2–0 · Watch Lasse Günther's goal video (7')
- 28' Goal: Maximilian Rohr (assist: Felix Keidel) — 3–0
- 45+9' Goal (penalty): Fabian Rieder — 3–1
- 76' Goal (penalty): Michael Gregoritsch — 3–2
- 89' Goal: Frederik Schmahl (assist: Lukas Petkov) — 4–2
- 90' Goal: Mert Kömür (assist: Hennes Behrens) — 4–3 · Watch Mert Kömür's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
SV Elversberg (4-2-3-1)
FC Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SV Elversberg 34%, the draw 27%, FC Augsburg 39%. It finished SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg.
Augsburg's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — We give FC Augsburg 39% mainly because they sit 113 points higher on our strength rating, 1658 to 1544, though Elversberg's habit of holding more of the ball pulls the other way. The draw sits at 27%, starting from 28% for a gap this size, trimmed because both sides' recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why FC Augsburg at 39%?
FC Augsburg sit 113 points higher on our strength rating — 1658 to 1544. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,846 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims SV Elversberg's column. Across 11,298 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–27–43.
Why only 39%?
SV Elversberg hold 10 more possession points (50 to 40 in recent games) across a 113-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,639 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SV Elversberg scored +0.87 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,843 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. FC Augsburg scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Lukas Petkov's goal against FC Augsburg (4').
- Watch Lasse Günther's goal against FC Augsburg (7').
- Watch Mert Kömür's goal against SV Elversberg (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg. Explore more on the SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg team pages or the Bundesliga page.