Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow6 clips- 6′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:
- 29′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 31′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 34′Borussia Dortmund, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 38′Bayern München, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 53′Bayern München, yellow card:
- 56′Bayern München, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 60′Borussia Dortmund, goal:1–1assist
- 66′Bayern München, goal:2–1assist
- 67′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 67′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 74′Bayern München, yellow card:
- 76′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 84′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 87′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 87′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 89′Borussia Dortmund, goal:2–2assist
- Full-time2 – 2
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Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
Match report
Bayern München denied by Fábio Silva's late leveller against Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund drew 2-2 at the Allianz Arena on Matchday 8 of the Bundesliga, with Fábio Silva's goal in the 89th minute cancelling out what had looked a decisive home lead. The result left Bayern top on 18 points, with Dortmund second on the same tally.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Konrad Laimer put the hosts ahead in the 38th minute, finishing from Michael Olise's assist, and Bayern led 1-0 at the break. Serhou Guirassy levelled in the 60th minute, converting a Carney Chukwuemeka assist, but Dayot Upamecano restored the advantage six minutes later from Harry Kane's delivery.
Dortmund pushed for an equaliser in the closing stages and found it when Silva scored in the 89th minute, with Konstantinos Karetsas providing the assist. The four-goal contest extended Bayern's unbeaten run to 19 games, though they could not close out a win at home.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 17% chance. Bayern travel to Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, while Dortmund host Real Betis in the same competition on Wednesday.
Konrad Laimer scored the opening goal in the 38th minute and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 7.88. Fábio Silva followed with a rating of 7.64 for his late equaliser.
Bayern had 23 shots to Dortmund's 12, yet the visitors had six on target to the hosts' five.
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund drew 2–2 (half-time 1–0).
Bayern München met Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 17:30 UTC at Allianz Arena. Referee: Tobias Stieler. Attendance: 75,000.
Team pages: Bayern München · Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Konrad Laimer (assist: Michael Olise) — 1–0 · Watch Konrad Laimer's goal video (38')
- 60' Goal: Serhou Guirassy (assist: Carney Chukwuemeka) — 1–1 · Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal video (60')
- 66' Goal: Dayot Upamecano (assist: Harry Kane) — 2–1 · Watch Dayot Upamecano's goal video (66')
- 89' Goal: Fábio Silva (assist: Konstantinos Karetsas) — 2–2 · Watch Fábio Silva's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Bayern München (4-2-3-1)
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bayern München 69%, the draw 17%, Borussia Dortmund 14%. It finished Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund.
Bayern's strength edge drives a clear lead — We give Bayern München 69% mainly because our strength rating puts them 218 points higher, 2076 to 1858, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 17%, starting from the usual 18% for a gap this size and nudged down because both teams' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Bayern München at 69%?
Bayern München sit 218 points higher on our strength rating — 2076 to 1858. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,073 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–18–14.
Why only 69%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 69% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Borussia Dortmund at 14%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bayern München have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Borussia Dortmund in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 10 home Bundesliga games: 9 wins and 1 draw. The run began on 8 February 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 24 January 2026 — Bayern München 1–2 FC Augsburg. Latest home league result: 17 October 2026 — Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig. Across 16,141 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Konrad Laimer's goal against Borussia Dortmund (38').
- Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal against Bayern München (60').
- Watch Dayot Upamecano's goal against Borussia Dortmund (66').
- Watch Fábio Silva's goal against Bayern München (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund. Explore more on the Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund team pages or the Bundesliga page.