Moreirense vs 09.10.26 17:450 – 1Full Time
GIL Vicente — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Walace penalty snatches late win for GIL Vicente at Moreirense
GIL Vicente won 1-0 away to Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on Matchday 8, with Walace converting a penalty in the 90th minute to settle a contest that had been goalless throughout. The match was played at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, and it was level at 0-0 at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Little separated the sides for most of the evening. Moreirense managed 12 shots to 13 for the visitors, while the home side had two efforts on target against three for GIL Vicente. Neither goalkeeper was seriously stretched, and the game appeared to be heading for a draw as the clock ran down.
The decisive moment arrived at the very end of normal time, when Walace stepped up from the spot to put GIL Vicente ahead. There was no opportunity for Moreirense to respond, and the single goal was enough to decide the match.
The result lifted GIL Vicente to 11 points from seven matches, seventh in the table, while Moreirense remained 12th on eight points from eight games. Vasco Costa's side, who had beaten Maritimo 3-1 and drawn at Guimaraes in their previous two outings, found no way through this time.
Walace scored the only goal of the match from the penalty spot in the 90th minute and earned the highest rating of any player, 7.8.
GIL Vicente held 62 per cent of the possession, against 38 per cent for Moreirense.
GIL Vicente won 1–0 away against Moreirense (half-time 0–0).
Moreirense met GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Friday, 9 October 2026, 17:45 UTC at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas. Referee: Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.
Team pages: Moreirense · GIL Vicente · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 90' Goal (penalty): Walace — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Moreirense (4-2-3-1)
GIL Vicente (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Moreirense 33%, the draw 30%, GIL Vicente 37%. It finished Moreirense 0–1 GIL Vicente.
Level sides, GIL Vicente's cold finishing due to recover swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and GIL Vicente's cold finishing due to recover plus GIL Vicente's control of the ball give GIL Vicente the lean. The draw at 30% is up from the usual 27.1% between sides this level, as small adjustments add up.
Why GIL Vicente in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1475 to 1508. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,789 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). GIL Vicente sit -0.35 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,346 games, vs 28.1% for visitors finishing normally. GIL Vicente hold 8 more possession points (52 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,464 games, from 43.9% when styles were level.
Why only 37%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 30% and Moreirense at 33%.
Why the draw at 30%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,280. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, GIL Vicente are winless in their last 8 away games: 4 draws and 4 defeats. The run began on 22 February 2026. Last recorded away league win: 7 February 2026 — Moreirense 1–2 GIL Vicente. Latest recorded away league result: 13 September 2026 — Benfica 3–1 GIL Vicente. Across 13,728 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 25.6%, compared with 25.0% expected from team strength. GIL Vicente have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Moreirense vs GIL Vicente final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Moreirense and GIL Vicente team pages or the Primeira Liga page.