SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 14′1. FC Magdeburg, goal:0–1
- 37′SV Darmstadt 98, goal:1–1assist
- 45+2′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:Argument
- 45+2′SV Darmstadt 98, yellow card:Argument
- 45+3′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 53′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 63′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 64′SV Darmstadt 98, yellow card:Foul
- 66′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:Foul
- 70′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 82′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 82′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 87′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 87′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 90′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 90+3′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Magdeburg
Match report
Smit's equaliser earns SV Darmstadt 98 a point against 1. FC Magdeburg
SV Darmstadt 98 and 1. FC Magdeburg drew 1-1 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor on Matchday 10 of the 2. Bundesliga. Both goals came before the interval, and neither side could find a winner after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Magdeburg went ahead in the 14th minute through Tobias Müller. Darmstadt responded in the 37th minute, when Marco Richter provided the assist for Milan Smit to level at 1-1, which was still the score at half-time.
The visitors had 69% of the possession to Darmstadt's 31%, yet Darmstadt managed 15 shots to 12 and won seven corners to five. Only three of the home side's efforts were on target, against two from Magdeburg, and the second half passed without a goal.
The point lifted Darmstadt from 18th to 14th with 9 points, while Magdeburg stayed fifth on 17. Darmstadt travel to 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November, and Magdeburg host FC St. Pauli the following day.
Tobias Müller took the highest rating of the match, 8.01, for the opening goal that put Magdeburg in front. Milan Smit, who scored Darmstadt's equaliser, followed on 7.88.
Magdeburg held 69% of the possession but could not turn it into a lead, finishing with fewer shots than Darmstadt.
SV Darmstadt 98 and 1. FC Magdeburg drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
SV Darmstadt 98 met 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor. Referee: Lukas Benen.
Team pages: SV Darmstadt 98 · 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Tobias Müller — 0–1 · Watch Tobias Müller's goal video (14')
- 37' Goal: Milan Smit (assist: Marco Richter) — 1–1 · Watch Milan Smit's goal video (37')
Starting line-ups
SV Darmstadt 98 (4-4-2)
1. FC Magdeburg (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SV Darmstadt 98 39%, the draw 25%, 1. FC Magdeburg 36%. It finished SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg.
Home advantage edges Darmstadt past stronger Magdeburg — Our strength rating has Magdeburg 60 points higher, but Darmstadt's usual home advantage, plus Magdeburg's recent scoring above their chances (streaks like that tend to cool off), puts Darmstadt narrowly in front at 39% to 36%. The draw starts at 29%, the usual rate for this gap, and falls to 25% because both sides' recent games average 3.2 goals and that finishing streak.
Why SV Darmstadt 98 at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. 1. FC Magdeburg sit 60 points higher on our strength rating — 1472 to 1412. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,127 such games. 1. FC Magdeburg scored +0.85 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,653 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 39%?
Because 1. FC Magdeburg are the stronger side on our strength rating. 1. FC Magdeburg hold 10 more possession points (52 to 42 in recent games) across a 60-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,322 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1. FC Magdeburg have gained 85 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,971 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. SV Darmstadt 98 have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Tobias Müller's goal against SV Darmstadt 98 (14').
- Watch Milan Smit's goal against 1. FC Magdeburg (37').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg. Explore more on the SV Darmstadt 98 and 1. FC Magdeburg team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.