VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 30′VfL Wolfsburg, goal:1–0
- 35′VfL Osnabrück, yellow card:Foul
- 45′VfL Wolfsburg, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 49′VfL Wolfsburg, goal:2–0assist
- 63′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 63′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 69′VfL Wolfsburg, substitution:off
- 75′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 76′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- 80′VfL Wolfsburg, substitution:off
- 80′VfL Wolfsburg, substitution:off
- 85′VfL Wolfsburg, substitution:off
- 89′VfL Osnabrück, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
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Goals
Assist
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Player Ratings
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Osnabrück
Match report
Wolfsburg beat Osnabrück 2-0 to climb to second in the 2. Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg won 2-0 at home to VfL Osnabrück on Matchday 10 of the 2. Bundesliga at the Volkswagen Arena, a result that lifted them from fourth to second in the table. Osnabrück, who started the day ninth, stayed there on 11 points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Fabian Reese broke the deadlock in the 30th minute, and Wolfsburg took a 1-0 lead into the interval. Four minutes after the restart, Muhammed Damar made it 2-0 in the 49th minute, with Reese providing the assist for his second contribution of the afternoon.
The numbers underlined the hosts' control. Wolfsburg had 64 per cent of the possession and 31 shots to Osnabrück's 13, with seven of them on target to four. They also won nine corners to three, though Osnabrück's attempts kept the margin to two goals.
Wolfsburg next travel to Hertha BSC on Saturday 7 November in the 2. Bundesliga, the same day Osnabrück host 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Reese scored the opener and set up Damar for the second, and his rating of 9.0 was the highest on the pitch. Timon Wellenreuther was also among the top performers for Wolfsburg with a rating of 7.91.
Wolfsburg took 31 shots to Osnabrück's 13, a gap that reflected their dominance in the contest.
VfL Wolfsburg beat VfL Osnabrück 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
VfL Wolfsburg met VfL Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Volkswagen Arena. Referee: Konrad Oldhafer.
Team pages: VfL Wolfsburg · VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 30' Goal: Fabian Reese — 1–0 · Watch Fabian Reese's goal video (30')
- 49' Goal: Muhammed Damar (assist: Fabian Reese) — 2–0 · Watch Muhammed Damar's goal video (49')
Starting line-ups
VfL Wolfsburg (4-2-3-1)
VfL Osnabrück (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave VfL Wolfsburg 75%, the draw 15%, VfL Osnabrück 10%. It finished VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfL Osnabrück.
Wolfsburg's strength gap makes this one-sided — We give VfL Wolfsburg 75% mainly because our strength rating puts them 253 points higher, 1564 to 1311, and they also get the usual home advantage. The draw sits at 15%, starting from the usual 16% for a gap this size and nudged down because both sides' own recent games average 4.0 goals.
Why VfL Wolfsburg at 75%?
VfL Wolfsburg sit 253 points higher on our strength rating — 1564 to 1311. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,971 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–17–12.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 75% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 15% and VfL Osnabrück at 10%.
Why is the draw only 15%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.2%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 1.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
VfL Wolfsburg have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than VfL Osnabrück in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. VfL Osnabrück are newly promoted — game 10 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Fabian Reese's goal against VfL Osnabrück (30').
- Watch Muhammed Damar's goal against VfL Osnabrück (49').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfL Osnabrück. Explore more on the VfL Wolfsburg and VfL Osnabrück team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.