FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 7′1. FC Nürnberg, own goal:0–1Own goal
- Half-time0 – 1
- 55′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 58′FC St. Pauli, goal:1–1assist
- 58′FC St. Pauli, substitution:off
- 65′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 65′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 68′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Time wasting
- 70′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 71′FC St. Pauli, substitution:off
- 71′1. FC Nürnberg, goal:1–2
- 74′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 78′FC St. Pauli, yellow card:Foul
- 80′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 81′FC St. Pauli, substitution:off
- 84′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 84′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 90′1. FC Nürnberg, goal:1–3assist
- 90+3′FC St. Pauli, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Nürnberg
Match report
1. FC Nürnberg come from behind to beat FC St. Pauli 3-1
1. FC Nürnberg won 3-1 at FC St. Pauli's Millerntor-Stadion on matchday 10 of the 2. Bundesliga, extending their lead over the hosts in the table. They were ahead after seven minutes, when Eric Smith turned the ball into his own net, and they led 1-0 at the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
St. Pauli drew level in the 58th minute. Arkadiusz Pyrka supplied the assist and Abdoulie Ceesay finished to make it 1-1. The hosts' recent form had been unbeaten, but the visitors restored their lead in the 71st minute through Sigurd Haugen. That ended a run of four games without a win for 1. FC Nürnberg.
M. Kornwachs Barjuan sealed the result in the 90th minute, set up by Eric Porstner, to make it 3-1. The victory moved Nürnberg from third to second on 21 points, nine clear of eighth-placed St. Pauli, whose run of six games unbeaten ended.
St. Pauli stay on 12 points and next travel to 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November. Nürnberg host SV Darmstadt 98 in the same competition on Saturday 7 November.
Jan Reichert was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 7.93 for Nürnberg, although he did not score or assist. Ceesay, with the equaliser, was the best-rated of the home side at 7.54.
St. Pauli had 24 shots to Nürnberg's 14, yet the visitors scored three times to the hosts' one.
1. FC Nürnberg won 3–1 away against FC St. Pauli (half-time 0–1).
FC St. Pauli met 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 12:30 UTC at Millerntor-Stadion. Referee: Robert Hartmann.
Team pages: FC St. Pauli · 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 7' Goal (own goal): Eric Smith — 0–1 · Watch Eric Smith's goal video (7')
- 58' Goal: Abdoulie Ceesay (assist: Arkadiusz Pyrka) — 1–1 · Watch Abdoulie Ceesay's goal video (58')
- 71' Goal: Sigurd Haugen — 1–2 · Watch Sigurd Haugen's goal video (71')
- 90' Goal: M. Kornwachs Barjuan (assist: Eric Porstner) — 1–3 · Watch M. Kornwachs Barjuan's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
FC St. Pauli (3-4-1-2)
1. FC Nürnberg (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC St. Pauli 41%, the draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 33%. It finished FC St. Pauli 1–3 1. FC Nürnberg.
Home advantage edges St. Pauli ahead of level rivals — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, the usual home advantage puts FC St. Pauli slightly ahead at 41%, though Nürnberg's habit of controlling the ball pulls the other way. The draw sits at 26%, just under the usual 27% for sides this level, mainly because Nürnberg's recent finishing streak lowers it.
Why FC St. Pauli in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1469 to 1482. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,656 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). 1. FC Nürnberg scored +0.68 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,660 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 41%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. 1. FC Nürnberg hold 5 more possession points (56 to 51 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.7% across 5,946 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,278. The cool-off factor takes 2.1 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1. FC Nürnberg are winless in their last 8 visits to FC St. Pauli: 4 draws and 4 defeats, across 1 Bundesliga game and 7 2. Bundesliga games. No earlier win in this fixture appears in our recorded visits. Latest visit: 7 October 2023 — FC St. Pauli 5–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Across 6,338 historical matches involving visitors with at least five consecutive winless visits, those visitors won 20.2%, compared with 21.4% expected from the teams' strength ratings. FC St. Pauli on 8 days' rest, 1. FC Nürnberg on 3. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 45,041 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Eric Smith's own goal video (7').
- Watch Abdoulie Ceesay's goal against 1. FC Nürnberg (58').
- Watch Sigurd Haugen's goal against FC St. Pauli (71').
- Watch M. Kornwachs Barjuan's goal against FC St. Pauli (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC St. Pauli 1–3 1. FC Nürnberg. Explore more on the FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Nürnberg team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.