1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 17′Hertha BSC, goal:0–1assist
- 32′1. FC Kaiserslautern, yellow card:Argument
- 38′Hertha BSC, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 52′Hertha BSC, goal:0–2assist
- 58′1. FC Kaiserslautern, substitution:off
- 58′1. FC Kaiserslautern, substitution:off
- 59′Hertha BSC, goal:0–3assist
- 62′Hertha BSC, yellow card:Foul
- 66′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 74′1. FC Kaiserslautern, substitution:off
- 76′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 76′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 84′1. FC Kaiserslautern, substitution:off
- 86′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 86′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Best rated
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Player Ratings
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hertha BSC
Match report
Hertha BSC beat 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-0 to extend lead at top
Hertha BSC won 3-0 at 1. FC Kaiserslautern in a 2. Bundesliga Matchday 10 fixture at the Fritz-Walter-Stadion, stretching their unbeaten run to 12 games and ending the home side's five-match unbeaten run.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Sebastian Grønning opened the scoring in the 17th minute, finishing from Jón Þorsteinsson's assist, and Hertha went into the interval a goal ahead. The lead was doubled seven minutes after the restart, when Grønning struck again in the 52nd minute, this time set up by Mads Valentin.
Valentin supplied another assist in the 59th minute, finding Oluwaseun Adewumi for the third goal and settling the contest. Kaiserslautern, who had kept five clean sheets in their previous five home games, found no way back. The visitors outshot them on target, with eight efforts to five.
The result left Hertha top of the table on 28 points, ten clear of fourth-placed Kaiserslautern on 18. Next, Hertha host VfL Wolfsburg on Saturday 7 November in the 2. Bundesliga, while Kaiserslautern travel to VfL Osnabrück on the same day.
Sebastian Grønning scored twice, in the 17th and 52nd minutes, and was the match's top-rated player at 8.93. Mads Valentin laid on two of the three goals.
Hertha had eight shots on target to Kaiserslautern's five, despite the home side having 53% of possession.
Hertha BSC won 3–0 away against 1. FC Kaiserslautern (half-time 0–1).
1. FC Kaiserslautern met Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Fritz-Walter-Stadion. Referee: Felix Bickel.
Team pages: 1. FC Kaiserslautern · Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 17' Goal: Sebastian Grønning (assist: Jón Þorsteinsson) — 0–1 · Watch Sebastian Grønning's goal video (17')
- 52' Goal: Sebastian Grønning (assist: Mads Valentin) — 0–2 · Watch Sebastian Grønning's goal video (52')
- 59' Goal: Oluwaseun Adewumi (assist: Mads Valentin) — 0–3 · Watch Oluwaseun Adewumi's goal video (59')
Starting line-ups
1. FC Kaiserslautern (3-1-4-2)
Hertha BSC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave 1. FC Kaiserslautern 32%, the draw 34%, Hertha BSC 34%. It finished 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–3 Hertha BSC.
Hertha's stronger rating offset by home advantage — Hertha BSC sit 45 points higher on our strength rating and usually control the ball, but the usual home advantage for 1. FC Kaiserslautern pulls the other way, leaving us at 32% to 34% and nobody clearly ahead. The draw rises from its usual 29% for a gap this size to 34%, mainly because both teams' recent games average just 2.3 goals.
Why Hertha BSC at 34%?
Hertha BSC sit 45 points higher on our strength rating — 1541 to 1496. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,127 such games. Hertha BSC hold 7 more possession points (55 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,938 games, from 44.0% when styles were level. The 300 most similar past games finished 40–31–29.
Why only 34%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 34% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 34% and 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 32%.
Why is the draw level with the Hertha BSC win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 19,781. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1. FC Kaiserslautern have gained 62 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,971 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Hertha BSC have gained 80 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Sebastian Grønning's goal against 1. FC Kaiserslautern (17').
- Watch Sebastian Grønning's goal against 1. FC Kaiserslautern (52').
- Watch Oluwaseun Adewumi's goal against 1. FC Kaiserslautern (59').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–3 Hertha BSC. Explore more on the 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Hertha BSC team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.