Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 17′Erzurumspor FK, goal:1–0assist
- 26′Konyaspor, yellow card:Foul
- 45+2′Konyaspor, yellow card:Foul
- 45+2′Konyaspor, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Konyaspor, substitution:off
- 46′Konyaspor, substitution:off
- 46′Konyaspor, substitution:off
- 58′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- 59′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- 64′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- 71′Konyaspor, substitution:off
- 72′Konyaspor, yellow card:Time wasting
- 75′Erzurumspor FK, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Konyaspor, substitution:off
- 87′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Player Ratings
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor
Match report
Tozlu strike gives Erzurumspor win over Konyaspor
Erzurumspor FK beat Konyaspor 1-0 in matchday four of the Süper Lig, a result that lifted the home side to 14th while Konyaspor remain without a win this season. The only goal of the contest arrived in the 17th minute and proved enough to settle a tightly fought encounter.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Eren Tozlu broke the deadlock, finishing after being set up by Guram Giorbelidze, and Erzurumspor held that 1-0 lead through to half-time and beyond. Despite seeing far less of the ball for long spells, the hosts made their moments count and defended their advantage through to the final whistle without further scoring either side.
Konyaspor dominated territory but struggled to turn possession into clear openings, managing just one shot on target compared to four for Erzurumspor. The visitors also picked up four yellow cards to their opponents' one, a sign of the frustration that built as İ. Palut's side pressed unsuccessfully for an equaliser.
Eren Tozlu scored the decisive goal and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a mark of 7.53.
Konyaspor enjoyed 66% possession yet could not convert their control of the ball into a result, managing only one shot on target all match.
Erzurumspor FK beat Konyaspor 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Erzurumspor FK met Konyaspor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu. Referee: Yasin Kol.
Team pages: Erzurumspor FK · Konyaspor · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 17' Goal: Eren Tozlu (assist: Guram Giorbelidze) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Erzurumspor FK (5-4-1)
Konyaspor (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Erzurumspor FK 31%, the draw 29%, Konyaspor 40%. It finished Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Konyaspor.
Konyaspor's rating edge outweighs Erzurumspor FK's home ground — Konyaspor are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Konyaspor the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Konyaspor at 40%?
Konyaspor sit 137 points higher on our strength rating — 1464 to 1601. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,132 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Erzurumspor FK's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–29–42.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Erzurumspor FK at 31%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,965. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Konyaspor have shed 87 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,701 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Erzurumspor FK are newly promoted — game 4 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor team pages or the Süper Lig page.