Beşiktaş vs 11.10.26 16:002 – 1Full Time
Kocaelispor — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Beşiktaş see off Kocaelispor 2-1 to move up to second
Beşiktaş beat Kocaelispor 2-1 at Tupras Stadium in Süper Lig Matchday 7, a result that lifted them from fifth to second in the table. All three goals came in the first half, and the hosts then managed the contest through the second period.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Orkun Kökçü opened the scoring in the 18th minute, finishing from a Václav Černý assist. The lead lasted only nine minutes before Show levelled for the visitors in the 27th, making it 1-1 and briefly rewarding Kocaelispor's more direct approach.
Beşiktaş restored their advantage four minutes later. Dušan Vlahović converted a penalty in the 31st minute to make it 2-1, and that proved to be the final goal. The scoreline was unchanged at half-time and full-time.
The result took Beşiktaş to 15 points from seven games, up from 12 points before kick-off. Kocaelispor, who had started the day sixth, finished seventh on 12 points. Vincenzo Italiano's side had shown a strong home record in recent weeks, and this was another win at their own ground.
Orkun Kökçü scored the opening goal and earned a rating of 7.9, level with Tiago Djaló at the top of the performers list. Alexander Nübel was also rated at 7.7 in goal.
Beşiktaş had 60 per cent of the possession, though Kocaelispor matched them with six shots on target apiece.
Beşiktaş beat Kocaelispor 2–1 (half-time 2–1).
Beşiktaş met Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Tüpraş Stadyumu. Referee: Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy.
Team pages: Beşiktaş · Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Orkun Kökçü (assist: Václav Černý) — 1–0 · Watch Orkun Kökçü's goal video (18')
- 27' Goal: Show — 1–1 · Watch Show's goal video (27')
- 31' Goal (penalty): Dušan Vlahović — 2–1 · Watch Dušan Vlahović's goal video (31')
Starting line-ups
Beşiktaş (4-1-4-1)
Kocaelispor (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Beşiktaş 72%, the draw 18%, Kocaelispor 10%. It finished Beşiktaş 2–1 Kocaelispor.
Beşiktaş's rating gap decides it — Beşiktaş are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Beşiktaş's 72%. The draw at 18% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Beşiktaş at 72%?
Beşiktaş sit 207 points higher on our strength rating — 1703 to 1496. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,567 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 75–16–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and Kocaelispor at 10%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,299.
What did we measure but not count?
Beşiktaş have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than Kocaelispor in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Kocaelispor come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals, 11 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Orkun Kökçü's goal against Kocaelispor (18').
- Watch Show's goal against Beşiktaş (27').
- Watch Dušan Vlahović's goal against Kocaelispor (31').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Beşiktaş 2–1 Kocaelispor. Explore more on the Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor team pages or the Süper Lig page.