Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs 10.10.26 10:302 – 2Full Time
Amed — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Gençlerbirliği S.K. rescue a point against Amed with stoppage-time equaliser
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed drew 2-2 at Eryaman Stadium on Süper Lig Matchday 7, with Thalisson Kelven's goal in the 90+2 minute denying the visitors all three points. Amed, second in the table with 14 points from seven games, had led at the break, while the hosts began the day eleventh on 8 points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Diaa Sabia put Amed ahead from the penalty spot in the 25th minute, and that single goal was all that separated the sides at half-time. Gençlerbirliği found their equaliser nine minutes after the restart, Rafael Luís scoring in the 54th minute to make it 1-1.
Amed regained the lead in the 67th minute when Samuel Ballet finished from a Rayan Raveloson assist, making it 2-1. The hosts kept pressing and were rewarded in the 90+2 minute, when Tiago Gouveia supplied the pass for Kelven to level at 2-2. Each side was shown four yellow cards.
Samuel Ballet scored Amed's second goal from a Rayan Raveloson assist and earned the highest rating of the match, 8.2.
Amed managed 19 shots to Gençlerbirliği's 11, though only 5 of them tested the goalkeeper against the hosts' 4.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed drew 2–2 (half-time 0–1).
Gençlerbirliği S.K. met Amed in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 10:30 UTC at Eryaman Stadyumu. Referee: Umit Ozturk.
Team pages: Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Amed · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 25' Goal (penalty): Diaa Sabia — 0–1
- 54' Goal: Rafael Luís — 1–1
- 67' Goal: Samuel Ballet (assist: Rayan Raveloson) — 1–2
- 90' Goal: Thalisson Kelven (assist: Tiago Gouveia) — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Gençlerbirliği S.K. (3-4-2-1)
Amed (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gençlerbirliği S.K. 47%, the draw 22%, Amed 31%. It finished Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–2 Amed.
Level sides, Amed's hot finishing due to cool swings it Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s way — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Amed's hot finishing due to cool gives Gençlerbirliği S.K. the lean. The draw at 22% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Gençlerbirliği S.K. in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1483 to 1521. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,793 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). Amed scored +0.61 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.2% of 1,447 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 22% and Amed at 31%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,847. The cool-off factor takes 2.4 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Amed are newly promoted — game 7 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Doubtful: Pedro Pereira, Oğulcan Ülgün, and Adama Traoré, important players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–2 Amed. Explore more on the Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed team pages or the Süper Lig page.