Galatasaray vs 09.10.26 17:003 – 1Full Time
Kasımpaşa — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Galatasaray come from behind in spirit to beat Kasımpaşa 3-1 despite red card
Galatasaray beat Kasımpaşa 3-1 at Rams Park in Süper Lig matchday seven, a result that kept the hosts top of the table on 16 points from seven games. Kasımpaşa, ninth on 10 points, scored once but were outplayed for long periods and conceded twice in stoppage time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Abdülkerim Bardakcı put Galatasaray ahead on 45 minutes, converting a chance created by Aleksey Batrakov, and the hosts led 1-0 at the break. The match turned when Lucas Torreira was sent off in the 65th minute, leaving Galatasaray with ten men for the final 25 minutes.
Kasımpaşa levelled three minutes later through Jesurun Rak-Sakyi, whose 68th-minute goal made it 1-1. Galatasaray regained the lead on 90 minutes when Barış Yılmaz scored, and Mario Lemina sealed the win with a goal in the sixth minute of stoppage time, set up by Victor Osimhen.
The scoreline reflected the balance of play. Galatasaray had 63 per cent of possession and 24 shots to nine, even after going a man down, while referee Halil Umut Meler booked four Kasımpaşa players against two for the hosts.
Barış Yılmaz scored the 90th-minute goal that put Galatasaray back in front and earned the match's highest rating, 8.3. Kasımpaşa goalkeeper Andreas Gianniotis was close behind on 8.2.
Galatasaray put 10 of their 24 shots on target, against three from nine for Kasımpaşa.
Galatasaray beat Kasımpaşa 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
Galatasaray met Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Friday, 9 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Rams Park Stadyumu. Referee: Halil Umut Meler.
Team pages: Galatasaray · Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 45' Goal: Abdülkerim Bardakcı (assist: Aleksey Batrakov) — 1–0 · Watch Abdülkerim Bardakcı's goal video (45')
- 65' Red card: Lucas Torreira
- 68' Goal: Jesurun Rak-Sakyi — 1–1 · Watch Jesurun Rak-Sakyi's goal video (68')
- 90' Goal: Barış Yılmaz — 2–1 · Watch Barış Yılmaz's goal video (90')
- 90' Goal: Mario Lemina (assist: Victor Osimhen) — 3–1 · Watch Mario Lemina's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Galatasaray (4-2-3-1)
Kasımpaşa (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Galatasaray 71%, the draw 17%, Kasımpaşa 12%. It finished Galatasaray 3–1 Kasımpaşa.
Galatasaray's rating gap decides it — Galatasaray are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Galatasaray's 71%. The draw at 17% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Galatasaray at 71%?
Galatasaray sit 211 points higher on our strength rating — 1712 to 1502. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.7% of 6,561 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–18–11.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 71% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Kasımpaşa at 12%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,841. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Galatasaray have averaged 18 percentage points more possession than Kasımpaşa in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Galatasaray have shed 72 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,576 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Abdülkerim Bardakcı's goal against Kasımpaşa (45').
- Watch Jesurun Rak-Sakyi's goal against Galatasaray (68').
- Watch Barış Yılmaz's goal against Kasımpaşa (90').
- Watch Mario Lemina's goal against Kasımpaşa (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Galatasaray 3–1 Kasımpaşa. Explore more on the Galatasaray and Kasımpaşa team pages or the Süper Lig page.