Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 11′Avellino, goal:1–0assist
- 16′Avellino, goal:2–0assist
- 30′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 38′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Avellino, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 46′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 46′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 46′Avellino, goal:3–0assist
- 57′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 64′Avellino, substitution:off
- 64′Avellino, substitution:off
- 64′Avellino, substitution:off
- 66′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- 70′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 77′Avellino, substitution:off
- 79′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Argument
- 83′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 83′Avellino, substitution:off
- 86′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Match report
Avellino rout Vicenza Virtus 3-0 in Serie B
Avellino brushed aside Vicenza Virtus 3-0 at the Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi in a Serie B round-two fixture, moving up to fifth in the table while their opponents remain in 12th. The home side led at half-time and never looked in danger of surrendering their advantage.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Michele Besaggio opened the scoring in the 11th minute, converting an Andrea Favilli assist, before Raffaele Russo doubled the lead five minutes later, also teed up by Favilli. That made it 2-0 at the interval, a scoreline that reflected Avellino's dominance in the opening period.
Brando Moruzzi added a third just a minute into the second half, again created by Favilli, to settle any lingering doubt over the outcome. Avellino finished with 18 shots to Vicenza Virtus's 10, though they saw less of the ball, holding 42 per cent possession against the visitors' 58.
Moruzzi capped his display with a goal and an 8.5 rating, edging out teammate Tommaso Martinelli, while Russo also found the net in a match dominated by Favilli's creative input.
Avellino's eight shots on target compared with just three for Vicenza Virtus underlined the home side's clinical edge in front of goal.
Avellino beat Vicenza Virtus 3–0 (half-time 2–0).
Avellino met Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Referee: Valerio Crezzini.
Team pages: Avellino · Vicenza Virtus · Serie B
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Michele Besaggio (assist: Andrea Favilli) — 1–0
- 16' Goal: Raffaele Russo (assist: Andrea Favilli) — 2–0
- 46' Goal: Brando Moruzzi (assist: Andrea Favilli) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Avellino (3-5-2)
Vicenza Virtus (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Avellino 39%, the draw 40%, Vicenza Virtus 21%. It finished Avellino 3–0 Vicenza Virtus.
Anyone's game — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Avellino's control of the ball against a weak Serie B home advantage plus the early-season home fade cancels out. The draw at 40% is the likeliest single result, helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Avellino in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1381 to 1391. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,833 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%). Avellino hold 7 more possession points (51 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,187 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,023 games vs 44.9% across all 99,457 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Avellino's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,143. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. The goals environment adds 4.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vicenza Virtus have gained 74 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,243 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Vicenza Virtus are newly promoted — game 2 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Avellino and Vicenza Virtus team pages or the Serie B page.