Match Events
- 21′Palermo, goal:0–1assist
- 30′Arezzo, yellow card:C. BucchiUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 44′Palermo, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 55′Palermo, goal:0–2assist
- 59′Palermo, substitution:off
- 59′Palermo, substitution:off
- 60′Arezzo, goal:1–2assist
- 66′Palermo, substitution:off
- 66′Palermo, substitution:off
- 69′Palermo, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 74′Arezzo, goal:2–2assist
- 76′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 76′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 82′Palermo, substitution:off
- 85′Arezzo, yellow card:Argument
- 87′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 87′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 90′Palermo, goal:2–3
- Full-time2 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Arezzo
Palermo
Match report
Augello's stoppage-time strike sinks Arezzo as Palermo edge five-goal thriller
Palermo won 3-2 away at Arezzo in a Serie B round two fixture at Citta di Arezzo, coming from a scare in the second half to snatch victory deep into stoppage time. Dennis Johnsen opened the scoring in the 21st minute, finished off an assist from Hernani, and Palermo went in 1-0 up at the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Filippo Ranocchia doubled the visitors' lead in the 55th minute, converting a Johnsen assist to make it 2-0, but Arezzo responded quickly through Pietro Cianci in the 60th minute, set up by Camillo Tavernelli, to cut the deficit. Tavernelli then turned provider into scorer, levelling at 2-2 in the 74th minute with Cianci returning the assist.
With the match seemingly heading for a share of the points, Tommaso Augello struck in the fourth minute of stoppage time to restore Palermo's lead and settle the contest at 3-2. Arezzo, who had led the possession count at 57 percent to Palermo's 43, could not find a third goal despite matching their opponents with 14 shots apiece.
Tavernelli produced a goal and an assist for Arezzo, playing a hand in both of the home side's equalising moments before finishing with a rating of 8.9.
Despite Arezzo holding 57 percent of possession, the visitors made the most of their share of the ball to score three times.
Palermo won 3–2 away against Arezzo (half-time 0–1).
Arezzo met Palermo in the Serie B (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Citta di Arezzo. Referee: Livio Marinelli.
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Dennis Johnsen (assist: Hernani) — 0–1
- 55' Goal: Filippo Ranocchia (assist: Dennis Johnsen) — 0–2
- 60' Goal: Pietro Cianci (assist: Camillo Tavernelli) — 1–2
- 74' Goal: Camillo Tavernelli (assist: Pietro Cianci) — 2–2
- 90' Goal: Tommaso Augello — 2–3
Starting line-ups
Arezzo (4-4-2)
Palermo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Arezzo 44%, the draw 38%, Palermo 18%. It finished Arezzo 2–3 Palermo.
Arezzo's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Arezzo are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Arezzo's 44%. The draw at 38% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Arezzo at 44%?
Arezzo sit 93 points higher on our strength rating — 1705 to 1612. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,398 such games.
Why only 44%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,028 games vs 44.9% across all 99,542 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Arezzo's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Palermo win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,699. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Arezzo are newly promoted — game 2 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Arezzo vs Palermo final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Arezzo and Palermo team pages or the Serie B page.