Match Events
- 19′Mantova, yellow card:Foul
- 31′Mantova, goal:0–1
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Mantova, substitution:off
- 46′Cesena, substitution:off
- 55′Cesena, substitution:off
- 58′Mantova, substitution:off
- 58′Mantova, substitution:off
- 58′Mantova, yellow card:Francesco ModestoDissent
- 68′Cesena, substitution:off
- 76′Mantova, substitution:off
- 76′Mantova, substitution:off
- 77′Cesena, goal:1–1assist
- 80′Cesena, substitution:off
- 80′Cesena, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
Cesena
Mantova
Match report
Cesena and Mantova share the points after Shpendi cancels out Ruocco
Cesena and Mantova drew 1-1 in a Serie B matchday three fixture at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, with the visitors going into the game top of the table and the hosts down in eighth. Francesco Ruocco put Mantova ahead in the 31st minute, and that scoreline held through half-time before Cesena responded in the second period.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cristian Shpendi levelled for Cesena in the 77th minute, converting an assist from Luca D'Andrea to make it 1-1, and the score stayed that way until the final whistle. Cesena dominated general control of the ball and created far more openings than their opponents, yet could not find a second goal to turn dominance into victory.
Mantova took a point away from Stadio Dino Manuzzi despite being second best for large spells, a result that will please manager F. Modesto given their position at the top of the division. Cesena's Alessandro Diamanti will have noted his side's territorial superiority did not translate into the win their approach play threatened.
Shpendi scored the equaliser for Cesena and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 7.88. Ruocco was not far behind after netting Mantova's opener, rated 7.81 for his contribution.
Cesena's dominance was underlined by a 67% to 33% split in possession over their visitors.
Cesena and Mantova drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Cesena met Mantova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Referee: M. Drigo.
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Francesco Ruocco — 0–1
- 77' Goal: Cristian Shpendi (assist: Luca D'Andrea) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Cesena (4-3-3)
Mantova (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cesena 36%, the draw 35%, Mantova 29%. It finished Cesena 1–1 Mantova.
Anyone's game — Mantova are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Mantova's hot finishing due to cool against a weak Serie B home advantage plus the early-season home fade cancels out. The draw at 35% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Cesena at 36%?
Home ground, against the rating. Mantova sit 91 points higher on our strength rating — 1389 to 1480. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,603 such games. Mantova scored +0.51 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.0% of 1,478 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 36%?
Because Mantova are the stronger side on our strength rating. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,035 games vs 44.9% across all 99,907 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Cesena's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Mantova win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,004. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Mantova have gained 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,314 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Mantova come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals and 14 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cesena vs Mantova final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Cesena and Mantova team pages or the Serie B page.