Match report
Avellino hold out at Modena despite huge territorial disadvantage
Modena were beaten 1-0 by Avellino in a Serie B Regular Season - 3 fixture at Stadio Alberto Braglia, despite dominating for long spells. Michele Besaggio broke the deadlock inside eight minutes, converting to put the visitors ahead, and that scoreline stood through half-time and remained unchanged until the final whistle.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Modena spent the rest of the afternoon trying to find a way back but could not add to the scoreline. The home side piled forward relentlessly, racking up 43 shots to Avellino's six, yet were unable to convert their dominance into goals as Besaggio's early strike proved decisive.
Avellino's defensive resilience was the story after the opening goal, with Nesta's side happy to cede possession and territory. Di Loreto issued three yellow cards to the hosts and two to the visitors, but no player was sent off as Modena's frustration mounted without breaking through.
Tommaso Martinelli produced the standout display for Avellino, earning a 9.49 rating without registering a goal or assist, underlining his influence at the back as Modena laid siege to his side's goal. Besaggio also impressed, scoring the only goal of the match and rating 7.77.
Modena's 43 shots to Avellino's six illustrate just how one-sided the territorial battle was, even though it yielded only a single goal difference on the scoreboard.
Avellino won 1–0 away against Modena (half-time 0–1).
Modena met Avellino in the Serie B (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Referee: M. Di Loreto.
Key moments
- 8' Goal: Michele Besaggio — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Modena (4-3-3)
Avellino (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Modena 44%, the draw 38%, Avellino 18%. It finished Modena 0–1 Avellino.
Modena's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Modena are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Modena's 44%. The draw at 38% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Modena at 44%?
Modena sit 97 points higher on our strength rating — 1496 to 1400. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,431 such games.
Why only 44%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,035 games vs 44.9% across all 99,907 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Modena's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Avellino win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,753. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Modena vs Avellino final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Modena and Avellino team pages or the Serie B page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Modena vs Avellino?
Avellino won 1–0 away against Modena (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Modena vs Avellino?
Michele Besaggio (8') for Avellino.
›Where can I watch Modena vs Avellino highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Modena vs Avellino; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Avellino?
Modena and Avellino have met 2 times — 0 wins for Modena, 1 win for Avellino and 1 draw.