Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 10′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 37′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Dissent
- 45+1′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 46′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 49′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Dissent
- 58′Vicenza Virtus, goal:0–1assist
- 59′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 59′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 67′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 67′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 67′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 68′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 70′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 74′Hellas Verona, goal:1–1assist
- 76′Hellas Verona, goal:2–1assist
- 78′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 85′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Argument
- 90+1′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 1
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Hellas Verona
Vicenza Virtus
Match report
Mosquera brace turns it around as Verona sink Vicenza Virtus
Hellas Verona came from behind to beat Vicenza Virtus 2-1 in Serie B's Regular Season - 5, overturning a second-half deficit at the Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. The scoreline stayed goalless through a cagey first period before the visitors broke the deadlock after the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Nicola Rauti put Vicenza Virtus ahead in the 58th minute, finishing off an assist from Lorenzo Caferri to make it 0-1. Verona responded quickly through Daniel Mosquera, who levelled in the 74th minute with Amin Sarr supplying the assist, then struck again just two minutes later, converting a chance created by Dailon Livramento to put the home side 2-1 up.
There was no further scoring after Mosquera's second, and Verona held on for the win. The home side dominated the underlying numbers, enjoying 57% possession and firing 16 shots to Vicenza Virtus's 9, with six on target compared to the visitors' two, underlining their control despite trailing for much of the second half.
Daniel Mosquera scored twice in the space of two second-half minutes to turn the match on its head, earning a rating of 9.38 as the decisive figure for Verona.
Verona's 16 shots to Vicenza Virtus's 9 reflected their greater attacking threat throughout the contest.
Hellas Verona beat Vicenza Virtus 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Hellas Verona met Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Referee: Andrea Colombo.
Team pages: Hellas Verona · Vicenza Virtus · Serie B
Key moments
- 58' Goal: Nicola Rauti (assist: Lorenzo Caferri) — 0–1
- 74' Goal: Daniel Mosquera (assist: Amin Sarr) — 1–1
- 76' Goal: Daniel Mosquera (assist: Dailon Livramento) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Hellas Verona (4-2-3-1)
Vicenza Virtus (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hellas Verona 55%, the draw 33%, Vicenza Virtus 12%. It finished Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza Virtus.
Hellas Verona's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Hellas Verona are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Hellas Verona a clear lead. The draw at 33% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Hellas Verona at 55%?
Hellas Verona sit 163 points higher on our strength rating — 1536 to 1372. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,840 such games. Hellas Verona sit -0.62 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,463 such games where the class table expected 36.4%. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–23–18.
Why only 55%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,058 games vs 44.9% across all 100,474 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Hellas Verona's column. Across 11,218 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Vicenza Virtus win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,162. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vicenza Virtus are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza Virtus. Explore more on the Hellas Verona and Vicenza Virtus team pages or the Serie B page.