HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 24′Juve Stabia, goal:0–1assist
- 40′Cremonese, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- Half-time0 – 1
- 56′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 59′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 61′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 72′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 72′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 77′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 78′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 78′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 80′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 81′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 90+4′Juve Stabia, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time0 – 1
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Cremonese
Juve Stabia
Match report
Juve Stabia edge Cremonese 1-0 with Bellich's first-half goal
Juve Stabia won 1-0 away to Cremonese at the Stadio Giovanni Zini in Serie B on Matchday 8. The only goal arrived in the 24th minute, when Marco Bellich finished from a Fabio Maistro assist to put the visitors ahead. That was the end of the scoring, and the scoreline at half-time was also the final one.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cremonese had the better of the ball and the chances. They held 55% of possession and had 20 shots to 13, with six on target to Juve Stabia's two, and won six corners to four. The expected goals figures, 1.63 to 0.73, also favoured the hosts, yet they could not find a way past the Juve Stabia defence.
The result lifted Juve Stabia from 11th to seventh, on 12 points after eight games. Cremonese stayed 18th on six points, 11 places and six points behind the visitors. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Juve Stabia a 16% chance of winning. Cremonese travel to Mantova on Tuesday in Serie B, while Juve Stabia host Hellas Verona on Wednesday.
Marco Bellich scored the decisive goal and earned the match's highest rating, 8.31. Ante Vuković followed on 8.06 for Juve Stabia.
Cremonese had 20 shots to Juve Stabia's 13 but placed only six of them on target.
Juve Stabia won 1–0 away against Cremonese (half-time 0–1).
Cremonese met Juve Stabia in the Serie B (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Referee: Giuseppe Mucera.
Team pages: Cremonese · Juve Stabia · Serie B
Key moments
- 24' Goal: Marco Bellich (assist: Fabio Maistro) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Cremonese (4-1-4-1)
Juve Stabia (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cremonese 50%, the draw 34%, Juve Stabia 16%. It finished Cremonese 0–1 Juve Stabia.
Cremonese's stronger rating gives them the edge, draw live — We give Cremonese 50%, mainly because they sit 92 points higher on our strength rating, 1490 to 1398, though home advantage running weak across Serie B pulls a little back towards Juve Stabia. The draw sits at 34%, up from a usual 25% for a gap this size, mostly because Serie B produces plenty of draws.
Why Cremonese at 50%?
Cremonese sit 92 points higher on our strength rating — 1490 to 1398. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 49–31–20.
Why only 50%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,083 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Juve Stabia hold 6 more possession points (57 to 51 in recent games) across a 92-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,292 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Juve Stabia win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Juve Stabia come into this after a busy window — 17 arrivals and 16 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Cremonese won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Juve Stabia. The record is 3 wins for Cremonese, 2 draws and 1 win for Juve Stabia. These were 6 Serie B games played at both grounds between 26 December 2019 and 25 May 2025. Latest meeting: 25 May 2025 — Cremonese 3–0 Juve Stabia. In 5,546 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cremonese vs Juve Stabia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cremonese 0–1 Juve Stabia. Explore more on the Cremonese and Juve Stabia team pages or the Serie B page.