HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 2′Cesena, VAR review:Card upgrade confirmed
- 5′Cesena, red card:Serious foul
- 19′Modena, goal:1–0assist
- 20′Cesena, yellow card:Foul
- 32′Modena, goal:2–0assist
- 35′Modena, own goal:3–0Own goal
- Half-time3 – 0
- 46′Cesena, substitution:off
- 46′Modena, substitution:off
- 46′Cesena, substitution:off
- 57′Modena, substitution:off
- 57′Modena, substitution:off
- 61′Cesena, substitution:off
- 61′Cesena, substitution:off
- 66′Modena, substitution:off
- 77′Cesena, substitution:off
- 79′Modena, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Modena
Cesena
Match report
Modena beat ten-man Cesena 3-0 at Alberto Braglia
Modena beat Cesena 3-0 at the Alberto Braglia in Serie B on matchday 8, with all of the scoring done before half-time. The result lifted them from fourth to third in the table, on 16 points, while Cesena stayed outside the top half in 15th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cesena's afternoon was compromised in the fifth minute, when Antonio Fiori was sent off at 0-0. Andrea Belotti took advantage in the 19th minute, scoring from Gastón Brugman's assist, and added a second in the 32nd after Daniel Tonoli set him up.
Three minutes later Gianluca Frabotta turned the ball into his own net to make it 3-0 and end the contest by the interval. The second half brought no further goals. Modena had 70% of the possession and 19 shots, while Cesena, who have now gone six games without a win, managed four.
Both sides play again on Tuesday 27 October in Serie B: Modena travel to Vicenza Virtus, and Cesena host Empoli.
Andrea Belotti scored twice, in the 19th and 32nd minutes, and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 9.19.
Modena had 19 shots to Cesena's four, with five on target against one.
Modena beat Cesena 3–0 (half-time 3–0).
Modena met Cesena in the Serie B (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Alberto Braglia. Referee: Dario Madonia.
Key moments
- 5' Red card: Antonio Fiori
- 19' Goal: Andrea Belotti (assist: Gastón Brugman) — 1–0
- 32' Goal: Andrea Belotti (assist: Daniel Tonoli) — 2–0
- 35' Goal (own goal): Gianluca Frabotta — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Modena (3-4-2-1)
Cesena (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Modena 54%, the draw 34%, Cesena 12%. It finished Modena 3–0 Cesena.
Modena's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Modena sit 98 points higher on our strength rating, 1432 to 1333, which is the main reason we give them 54%, though home advantage runs weak across Serie B and pulls slightly towards Cesena. The draw starts at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and climbs to 34% mainly because Serie B produces more draws than usual.
Why Modena at 54%?
Modena sit 98 points higher on our strength rating — 1432 to 1333. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. Modena hold 7 more possession points (53 to 46 in recent games) across a 98-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,292 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 50–31–19.
Why only 54%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,083 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Cesena win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cesena have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Cesena won 2 of the last 4 meetings with Modena. The record is 2 wins for Cesena, 2 draws and 0 wins for Modena. These were 4 Serie B games played between 13 September 2024 and 7 March 2026. Latest meeting: 7 March 2026 — Modena 0–0 Cesena. In 6,072 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Modena vs Cesena final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Modena 3–0 Cesena. Explore more on the Modena and Cesena team pages or the Serie B page.