HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 1′Cremonese, goal:0–1assist
- 13′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 24′Cremonese, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Mantova, substitution:off
- 52′Mantova, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Mantova, substitution:offTommaso Del Lungo
- 61′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 64′Cremonese, yellow card:Foul
- 65′Cremonese, yellow card:Time wasting
- 66′Mantova, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Mantova, substitution:off
- 72′Mantova, substitution:off
- 74′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 74′Cremonese, substitution:off
- 79′Mantova, substitution:off
- 80′Cremonese, goal:0–2assist
- 84′Cremonese, red card:
- 90+1′Mantova, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Mantova
Cremonese
Match report
Cremonese win at Mantova despite being outshot 20 to 6
Cremonese won 2-0 away to Mantova at the Stadio Danilo Martelli on Serie B matchday 9, ending a run of five games without a win. The visitors were ahead inside the first minute, Federico Bonazzoli finishing from Jari Vandeputte's assist, and they led 1-0 at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mantova controlled the ball for long spells, finishing with 66% possession and 20 shots to 6, and they won five corners to Cremonese's two. Yet they could not find a way through, with nine of those shots on target, and the visitors held on to their narrow advantage deep into the second half.
The game was settled on 80 minutes when Marco Nasti scored from Dachi Lordkipanidze's assist to make it 2-0. Four minutes later Cremonese's Tommaso Barbieri was sent off, and they played out the closing stages with ten men. The result lifted them from 18th to 15th, while Mantova slipped from second to fourth.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Cremonese a 26% chance of winning. Both sides are back in action on Saturday 31 October in Serie B: Cremonese host Benevento, while Mantova travel to Modena.
Andrea Fulignati earned the top rating of 8.5 for Cremonese, protecting the clean sheet as Mantova's pressure told in the shot count. Bonazzoli (8.01), who scored the opener, and Nasti (7.5), who added the second, also rated highly.
Mantova had 20 shots to Cremonese's 6, yet lost 2-0.
Cremonese won 2–0 away against Mantova (half-time 0–1).
Mantova met Cremonese in the Serie B (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Referee: Rapuano Andrea.
Key moments
- 1' Goal: Federico Bonazzoli (assist: Jari Vandeputte) — 0–1
- 80' Goal: Marco Nasti (assist: Dachi Lordkipanidze) — 0–2
- 84' Red card: Tommaso Barbieri
Starting line-ups
Mantova (4-1-4-1)
- 22 Francesco Bardi
- 50 Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
- 27 Alessio Castellini
- 5 Bodin Tomašević
- 58 Tommaso Del Lungo
- 29 Stefano Cella
- 19 Francesco Ruocco
- 80 Rachid Kouda
- 21 Simone Trimboli
- 30 Davide Bragantini
- 9 Ettore Gliozzi
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Mantova 39%, the draw 35%, Cremonese 26%. It finished Mantova 0–2 Cremonese.
Home advantage edges Mantova in a tight Serie B game — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1448 to 1474, the usual home advantage puts Mantova slightly in front at 39%, though home sides in Serie B tend to under-perform, which pulls towards Cremonese. The draw sits at 35%, up from a usual 27% between sides this level, mainly because Serie B produces plenty of draws.
Why Mantova in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1448 to 1474. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,625 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,092 games vs 44.6% across all 108,018 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Cremonese win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,329. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Mantova have gained 65 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,948 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last five: Mantova W-D-W-L-W, Cremonese D-D-D-L-L — Mantova are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2028 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3924 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Mantova vs Cremonese final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Mantova 0–2 Cremonese. Explore more on the Mantova and Cremonese team pages or the Serie B page.