HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 53′Sampdoria, yellow card:Foul
- 55′Ascoli, goal:1–0assistMatteo Brunori
- 66′Sampdoria, substitution:off
- 66′Sampdoria, substitution:off
- 66′Ascoli, substitution:offMatteo Brunori
- 66′Ascoli, substitution:off
- 66′Ascoli, substitution:off
- 72′Sampdoria, substitution:Yann Karamohoff
- 76′Ascoli, substitution:off
- 82′Ascoli, own goal:2–0Own goal
- 85′Ascoli, substitution:off
- 89′Sampdoria, yellow card:Argument
- 89′Ascoli, yellow card:Argument
- 90+4′Sampdoria, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match statsKey Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Match report
Ascoli beat Sampdoria 2-0 to climb to third in Serie B
Ascoli beat Sampdoria 2-0 at the Cino e Lillo Del Duca in Serie B on Matchday 9, a result that lifted them from fourth to third in the table on 18 points. Sampdoria stayed 19th with five points, 13 behind their hosts after a defeat that followed a 1-1 draw at Sudtirol.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half finished goalless, and the breakthrough came ten minutes after the restart. Matteo Brunori set up Andrea Silipo in the 55th minute to make it 1-0, and Ascoli held that lead with the greater share of the ball, finishing on 67 per cent possession to Sampdoria's 33.
The second goal arrived in the 82nd minute and was an own goal by Oliver Abildgaard, which made it 2-0 and ended Sampdoria's hopes of a recovery. Ascoli had also won nine corners to four. For the visitors, who had lost three of their previous five league games, there was again no reply.
Ascoli travel to Arezzo in Serie B on Sunday 1 November, while Sampdoria host Virtus Entella in the same competition on Saturday 31 October.
Andrea Silipo scored the opening goal in the 55th minute, set up by Matteo Brunori, and was rated 8.2. Samuele Vitale earned the highest rating in the match, 8.37.
Ascoli had 67 per cent of the possession, twice Sampdoria's 33 per cent.
Ascoli beat Sampdoria 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Ascoli met Sampdoria in the Serie B (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Referee: Marco Di Bello.
Key moments
- 55' Goal: Andrea Silipo (assist: Matteo Brunori) — 1–0
- 82' Goal (own goal): Oliver Abildgaard — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Ascoli (3-5-2)
- 1 Samuele Vitale
- 3 Manuel Nicoletti
- 30 Marcos Curado
- 5 Lorenzo Venuti
- 19 Abdoul Guiébré
- 13 Gennaro Acampora
- 4 Samuele Damiani
- 8 Giovanni Corradini
- 7 Andrea Silipo
- 15 Simone D'Uffizi
- 99 Matteo Brunori
Sampdoria (4-3-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Ascoli 52%, the draw 30%, Sampdoria 18%. It finished Ascoli 2–0 Sampdoria.
Ascoli's stronger rating leads, with the draw live — We give Ascoli 52% mainly because our strength rating puts them 121 points higher, 1441 to 1320, though home advantage runs weak across Serie B and that pulls some of the edge back towards Sampdoria. The draw sits at 30%, starting from 25% for a gap this size and raised by Serie B's usual draw rate.
Why Ascoli at 52%?
Ascoli sit 121 points higher on our strength rating — 1441 to 1320. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,349 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–22–17.
Why only 52%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,092 games vs 44.6% across all 108,018 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Sampdoria sit -0.53 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.4% of 2,954 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Sampdoria win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,207. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ascoli have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Sampdoria in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Ascoli are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Ascoli vs Sampdoria final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Ascoli 2–0 Sampdoria. Explore more on the Ascoli and Sampdoria team pages or the Serie B page.

