HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 13′Vicenza Virtus, own goal:1–0Own goal
- 17′Modena, goal:1–1assist
- 18′Modena, yellow card:D. GalloppaDissent
- 19′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 36′Modena, substitution:off
- Half-time1 – 1
- 55′Modena, substitution:off
- 62′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Dissent
- 64′Modena, yellow card:Handball
- 69′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Dissent
- 71′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 71′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 76′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 84′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 88′Modena, substitution:off
- 88′Modena, substitution:off
- 89′Modena, goal:1–2
- Full-time1 – 2
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Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Match report
Ambrosino's late goal gives Modena win at Vicenza Virtus
Modena won 2-1 away to Vicenza Virtus at the Stadio Romeo Menti on Serie B Matchday 9, Giuseppe Ambrosino scoring in the 89th minute to settle a match that had been level since the opening quarter of an hour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Vicenza Virtus went ahead in the 13th minute, though not through any attacking move of their own: Modena's Bryant Nieling turned the ball into his own net. The lead lasted only four minutes. Giuseppe Caso crossed for Andrea Belotti, who made it 1-1 in the 17th minute, and the score stayed that way until half-time.
The second half produced no goals for more than 40 minutes, with Modena having the greater share of the ball at 54 per cent and taking ten shots to six. Ambrosino then struck in the 89th minute to make it 2-1. Vicenza Virtus, who collected four yellow cards to Modena's one, found no reply.
The result lifted Modena from third to second in the table, on 19 points from nine games, while Vicenza Virtus dropped from 14th to 16th on nine points. Modena next host Mantova on Saturday in Serie B, and Vicenza Virtus travel to Palermo on Sunday in the same competition.
Andrea Belotti equalised in the 17th minute from Giuseppe Caso's assist and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 8.01. Giuseppe Ambrosino's 89th-minute winner earned him a rating of 7.30.
Modena had ten shots to Vicenza Virtus's six.
Modena won 2–1 away against Vicenza Virtus (half-time 1–1).
Vicenza Virtus met Modena in the Serie B (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio Romeo Menti. Referee: Daniele Perenzoni.
Team pages: Vicenza Virtus · Modena · Serie B
Key moments
- 13' Goal (own goal): Bryant Nieling — 1–0
- 17' Goal: Andrea Belotti (assist: Giuseppe Caso) — 1–1
- 89' Goal: Giuseppe Ambrosino — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Vicenza Virtus (3-5-2)
Modena (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vicenza Virtus 27%, the draw 34%, Modena 39%. It finished Vicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena.
Modena's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — Modena lead mainly because our strength rating puts them 109 points higher, 1444 to 1336, and home advantage runs weak across Serie B, which takes a little away from Vicenza Virtus. The draw sits high at 34%, starting from about 28% for a gap this size and raised by the usual Serie B draw rate.
Why Modena at 39%?
Modena sit 109 points higher on our strength rating — 1444 to 1336. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,815 such games. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,092 games vs 44.6% across all 108,018 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Modena hold 11 more possession points (56 to 45 in recent games) across a 109-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,315 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–26–39.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 34% and Vicenza Virtus at 27%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Vicenza Virtus win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,207. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Vicenza Virtus are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Last five: Vicenza Virtus D-L-L-D-W, Modena D-W-W-L-W — Modena are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2028 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3924 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Vicenza Virtus vs Modena final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Vicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena. Explore more on the Vicenza Virtus and Modena team pages or the Serie B page.