HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 12′Carrarese, yellow card:Foul
- 22′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 43′Carrarese, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Arezzo, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 46′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 46′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 63′Arezzo, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Carrarese, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 72′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 76′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 77′Arezzo, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 83′Carrarese, goal:1–0assist
- 90′Carrarese, goal:2–0assist
- 90+2′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 90+3′Carrarese, yellow card:Foul
- 90+5′Arezzo, penalty goal:2–1Penalty
- 90+7′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 90+7′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 90+7′Carrarese, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 1
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Carrarese
Arezzo
Match report
Carrarese edge Arezzo after late goals at Stadio dei Marmi
Carrarese beat Arezzo 2-1 in Serie B on matchday 9 at Stadio dei Marmi, scoring twice in the final seven minutes of normal time to break down a stubborn visitor. The sides went in level at 0-0 at half-time, and the deadlock held until the 83rd minute.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Luka Topalović finally broke through then, converting after a pass from Jonas Rouhi to make it 1-0. Carrarese had been the dominant side, with 19 shots to four and 57% of the possession, yet had only three shots on target to show for it.
Gabriele Parlanti doubled the lead in the 90th minute, scoring from Topalović's assist. Arezzo pulled one back in the 90+5 minute when Emiliano Pattarello converted a penalty, but there was no time left for an equaliser. The win lifted Carrarese from 17th to 14th, with 10 points, one place above Arezzo, who also finished on 10.
Both sides play on Sunday 1 November in Serie B: Carrarese travel to Hellas Verona, while Arezzo host Ascoli.
Topalović was the top-rated player on the pitch with 8.26, scoring the opener and setting up Parlanti's goal. Rouhi supplied the pass for the first goal.
Carrarese had 19 shots to Arezzo's four, though only three of them tested the goalkeeper.
Carrarese beat Arezzo 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Carrarese met Arezzo in the Serie B (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio dei Marmi. Referee: M. Di Loreto.
Key moments
- 83' Goal: Luka Topalović (assist: Jonas Rouhi) — 1–0
- 90' Goal: Gabriele Parlanti (assist: Luka Topalović) — 2–0
- 90+5' Goal (penalty): Emiliano Pattarello — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Carrarese (3-5-2)
Arezzo (4-3-3)
- 14 Alessandro Nunziante
- 32 Andrea Cagnano
- 67 Gianmarco Ferrari
- 13 Matteo Gilli
- 2 M. Mena
- 16 Mattia Sala
- 78 Gennaro Iaccarino
- 8 Shaka Mawuli
- 7 Kevin Leone
- 11 Leonardo Mancuso
- 10 Emiliano Pattarello
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Carrarese 32%, the draw 35%, Arezzo 33%. It finished Carrarese 2–1 Arezzo.
Arezzo's stronger rating balanced by Carrarese home ground — Arezzo sit 100 points higher on our strength rating, 1447 to 1346, but Carrarese's home advantage pulls the sides level, leaving 32% against 33% and nobody clearly in front. The draw starts at 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and the high draw rate in Serie B lifts it to 35%, the likeliest single result.
Why Arezzo at 33%?
Arezzo sit 100 points higher on our strength rating — 1447 to 1346. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,824 such games. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,099 games vs 44.6% across all 108,079 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–30–34.
Why only 33%?
Carrarese sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.4% of 2,958 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,336. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Arezzo have shed 86 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,385 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Carrarese come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals and 19 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Carrarese vs Arezzo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Carrarese 2–1 Arezzo. Explore more on the Carrarese and Arezzo team pages or the Serie B page.