CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 41′Panathinaikos, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 60′Panathinaikos, goal:0–1
- 64′Panathinaikos, yellow card:Foul
- 65′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 65′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 66′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 71′CSKA 1948, yellow card:Foul
- 72′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 80′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 83′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 83′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 87′CSKA 1948, goal:1–1
- 88′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- 88′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
- 94′Panathinaikos, goal:1–2assist
- 101′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 105+1′Panathinaikos, substitution:off
- Half-time · E.T.1 – 2
- 106′CSKA 1948, substitution:off
- 112′CSKA 1948, yellow card:Foul
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
CSKA 1948
Panathinaikos
Match report
CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos — the facts
Panathinaikos won 2–1 away against CSKA 1948 (half-time 0–0).
CSKA 1948 met Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC at National Stadium Vasil Levski. Referee: Jasper Vergoote.
Team pages: CSKA 1948 · Panathinaikos · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 60' Goal: Levi García — 0–1 · Watch Levi García's goal video (60')
- 87' Goal: Lasha Dvali — 1–1 · Watch Lasha Dvali's goal video (87')
- 94' Goal: Cyriel Dessers (assist: Giorgos Kyriakopoulos) — 1–2 · Watch Cyriel Dessers's goal video (94')
Starting line-ups
CSKA 1948 (4-4-1-1)
Panathinaikos (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave CSKA 1948 20%, the draw 32%, Panathinaikos 48%. It finished CSKA 1948 1–1 Panathinaikos.
Panathinaikos' rating gap, but the draw is in play — Panathinaikos are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Panathinaikos' 48%. The draw at 32% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Panathinaikos at 48%?
Panathinaikos sit 279 points higher on our strength rating — 1414 to 1694. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,013 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–29–50.
Why only 48%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 48% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 32% and CSKA 1948 at 20%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the CSKA 1948 win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,068. The goals environment adds 3.7 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
CSKA 1948 have 9 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Levi García's goal against CSKA 1948 (60').
- Watch Lasha Dvali's goal against Panathinaikos (87').
- Watch Cyriel Dessers's goal against CSKA 1948 (94').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from CSKA 1948 1–2 Panathinaikos. Explore more on the CSKA 1948 and Panathinaikos team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.