Inter vs 21.10.26 19:001 – 0Full Time
Shakhtar Donetsk — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Carlos Augusto fires ten-man Inter past Shakhtar Donetsk
Inter beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in a UEFA Champions League league-stage matchday 3 fixture, despite playing the final stretch with ten men. Carlos Augusto scored the only goal in the 77th minute, nine minutes after Alessandro Bastoni had been sent off.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half finished goalless, with little to separate the sides. Shakhtar enjoyed 55% of possession over the match, but Inter fashioned slightly more of the chances, finishing with 13 shots to 12 and five on target to four.
The decisive spell came late. Bastoni's red card in the 68th minute, with the score still 0-0, appeared to hand Shakhtar the initiative. Instead, Inter struck from that position: Henrikh Mkhitaryan supplied the pass for Carlos Augusto to score, and from the dismissal onwards Inter scored once and conceded none.
Inter's next game is a Serie A home fixture against Fiorentina on Sunday 25 October, while Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP in the Champions League on Tuesday 3 November.
Carlos Augusto scored the winning goal from Mkhitaryan's assist and earned a rating of 7.63. Goalkeeper Josep Martínez was rated marginally higher at 7.64 as Inter protected their lead with ten men.
Shakhtar Donetsk held 55% of possession, yet it was Inter who took the three points.
Inter beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Inter met Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. Referee: Harm Osmers.
Team pages: Inter · Shakhtar Donetsk · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 68' Red card: Alessandro Bastoni
- 77' Goal: Carlos Augusto (assist: Henrikh Mkhitaryan) — 1–0 · Watch Carlos Augusto's goal video (77')
Starting line-ups
Inter (3-5-2)
Shakhtar Donetsk (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Inter 79%, the draw 12%, Shakhtar Donetsk 9%. It finished Inter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk.
Inter's clear strength edge makes this one-sided — We give Inter 79% mainly because our strength rating has them 268 points higher, 1924 to 1657, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 12%, just below the usual 12.5% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Inter at 79%?
Inter sit 268 points higher on our strength rating — 1924 to 1657. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.3% of 5,576 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 78–12–10.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 79% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 12% and Shakhtar Donetsk at 9%.
Why is the draw only 12%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 12.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 17,071. The goals environment takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Lautaro Martínez, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Inter won 2 of the last 5 meetings with Shakhtar Donetsk. The record is 2 wins for Inter, 3 draws and 0 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk. These were 1 UEFA Europa League game and 4 UEFA Champions League games played between 17 August 2020 and 24 November 2021. Inter are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings between the sides (2 wins, 3 draws), a run going back to August 2020. Latest meeting: 24 November 2021 — Inter 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk. In 5,194 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.9%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Inter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk. Explore more on the Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.