Sabah FA vs 20.10.26 16:451 – 2Full Time
Borussia Dortmund — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Guirassy double sends Borussia Dortmund past Sabah FA
Borussia Dortmund won 2-1 away to Sabah FA at Baku Olympic Stadium in the third round of the UEFA Champions League league stage. Serhou Guirassy scored twice, with Aiden McCarthy replying for the hosts before the break, as Dortmund ended a run of three games without a win.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Guirassy opened the scoring in the 10th minute to put the visitors 1-0 ahead. Sabah drew level in the 39th minute, McCarthy finishing from a Tymoteusz Puchacz assist, and the sides went into the interval at 1-1.
The decisive goal arrived in the 53rd minute, when Guirassy converted a Joey Veerman assist to make it 2-1. Dortmund held possession of 55 per cent across the match and had 22 shots to Sabah's 13, but Sabah created enough chances to stay in contention until the end.
Dortmund return to Bundesliga action on Saturday 24 October, when they host Eintracht Frankfurt. Sabah's next game is in the Champions League, away to Viking on Wednesday 4 November.
Guirassy scored both Dortmund goals, in the 10th and 53rd minutes, and earned a rating of 9.46. Veerman supplied the assist for the second.
Dortmund put nine of their 22 shots on target, against four from Sabah's 13.
Borussia Dortmund won 2–1 away against Sabah FA (half-time 1–1).
Sabah FA met Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Baku Olympic Stadium. Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas.
Team pages: Sabah FA · Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 10' Goal: Serhou Guirassy — 0–1 · Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal video (10')
- 39' Goal: Aiden McCarthy (assist: Tymoteusz Puchacz) — 1–1 · Watch Aiden McCarthy's goal video (39')
- 53' Goal: Serhou Guirassy (assist: Joey Veerman) — 1–2 · Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal video (53')
Starting line-ups
Sabah FA (4-2-3-1)
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sabah FA 13%, the draw 18%, Borussia Dortmund 69%. It finished Sabah FA 1–2 Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund's strength rating gives them a clear lead — Borussia Dortmund sit 358 points higher on our strength rating, 1842 to 1484, which is enough to give them 69% even with the usual home advantage Sabah FA start with. The draw sits at 18%, right at the usual draw rate for a strength gap this size, with nothing else moving it.
Why Borussia Dortmund at 69%?
Borussia Dortmund sit 358 points higher on our strength rating — 1842 to 1484. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.6% of 5,886 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 13–18–69.
Why only 69%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 69% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and Sabah FA at 13%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,268.
What did we measure but not count?
Sabah FA are unbeaten in their 5 home UEFA Champions League games this season: 5 wins and 0 draws. Season's home results covered: 7 July 2026 to 13 October 2026 (UTC dates). Latest home result: 13 October 2026 — Sabah FA 2–0 Slavia Praha. Across 4,887 historical matches involving hosts unbeaten at home that season after at least five home games, those hosts won 59.1%, compared with 56.1% expected from team strength. Sabah FA have 24 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal against Sabah FA (10').
- Watch Aiden McCarthy's goal against Borussia Dortmund (39').
- Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal against Sabah FA (53').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sabah FA 1–2 Borussia Dortmund. Explore more on the Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.