VfB Stuttgart vs 20.10.26 19:001 – 1Full Time
Atletico Madrid — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid share the points at MHP Arena
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid drew 1-1 at the MHP Arena in a UEFA Champions League league-stage matchday 3 fixture. The visitors were reduced to ten men in the second half but held on for a point, ending Stuttgart's wait for a result that proved beyond them despite a clear territorial edge.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Stuttgart took the lead in the 36th minute through Jamie Leweling, who put the hosts 1-0 ahead and sent them into the interval with that advantage. Atletico responded within two minutes of the restart. Julián Álvarez finished in the 47th minute, with Ademola Lookman credited with the assist, to make it 1-1.
The match turned on the 64th minute, when Morten Hjulmand was sent off for Atletico with the score level. No further goals followed, and Stuttgart could not turn their numerical advantage into a winner. Atletico's run of six wins in a row ended, though they are now unbeaten in seven games.
Stuttgart had 54% of possession to Atletico's 46% and led 18 shots to 10, with 9 corners to 4. Their next game is at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on Friday, while Atletico host Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga on Saturday.
Julián Álvarez scored the equaliser in the 47th minute and earned the match's highest rating, 8.06. Leweling, who netted Stuttgart's opener, was rated 7.79.
Stuttgart had 18 shots to Atletico's 10, a gap that reflected their control of the contest.
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
VfB Stuttgart met Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at MHP Arena. Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk.
Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 36' Goal: Jamie Leweling — 1–0 · Watch Jamie Leweling's goal video (36')
- 47' Goal: Julián Álvarez (assist: Ademola Lookman) — 1–1 · Watch Julián Álvarez's goal video (47')
- 64' Red card: Morten Hjulmand
Starting line-ups
VfB Stuttgart (4-2-3-1)
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave VfB Stuttgart 33%, the draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 40%. It finished VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — We give Atletico Madrid 40% because our strength rating has them 107 points higher, 1867 to 1760, though VfB Stuttgart's usual home advantage keeps this to a slight lean. The draw sits at 27%, starting from the usual 28% for a gap this size and nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 3.1 goals.
Why Atletico Madrid at 40%?
Atletico Madrid sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1867 to 1760. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,874 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–30–35.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and VfB Stuttgart at 33%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,268.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Cristian Romero, an important player, and Koke, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Last five: VfB Stuttgart L-L-W-W-L, Atletico Madrid W-W-W-W-W — Atletico Madrid are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 6 on 90-minute results, all competitions (6 wins), a run going back to September 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.6% of 1911 games when clearly hotter and 43.5% of 3669 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jamie Leweling's goal against Atletico Madrid (36').
- Watch Julián Álvarez's goal against VfB Stuttgart (47').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atletico Madrid. Explore more on the VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.