HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 45′Ajax, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 62′Atalanta, substitution:off
- 62′Ajax, substitution:off
- 62′Ajax, substitution:off
- 66′Ajax, substitution:off
- 68′Atalanta, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Atalanta, substitution:off
- 80′Atalanta, substitution:off
- 80′Atalanta, substitution:off
- 86′Atalanta, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Ajax, goal:1–0assist
- 90′Ajax, goal:2–0assist
- 90+1′Ajax, substitution:off
- 90+2′Ajax, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time2 – 0
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Ajax
Atalanta
Match report
Ajax break Atalanta late to win 2-0 at the Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax beat Atalanta 2-0 at the Johan Cruijff Arena in the second matchday of the UEFA Europa Conference League's league stage, scoring both goals in the closing stages after a goalless first half. Míchel's side had dominated possession and territory, but needed until the 87th minute to turn that control into a lead.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Tolu Arokodare broke the deadlock in the 87th minute, converting after a delivery from Youri Baas. Atalanta, who had not managed a single shot on target by then, were left chasing the game with little time remaining and could not respond to the setback.
Ajax added a second in the 90+3 minute, when A. Ouazane finished from a pass by Arokodare, who thus had a hand in both goals. Ajax finished with 20 shots to 15, six of them on target to none, and held 62% of the ball against Maurizio Sarri's side.
Ajax travel to Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October, the same day Atalanta host Frosinone in Serie A.
Youri Baas laid on the opening goal for Arokodare and earned a rating of 7.9, level with team-mate Lucas Rosa among the match's top performers.
Atalanta failed to register a single shot on target, while Ajax put six of their 20 shots on target.
Ajax beat Atalanta 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Ajax met Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Johan Cruijff Arena. Referee: Antonio Nobre.
Team pages: Ajax · Atalanta · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 87' Goal: Tolu Arokodare (assist: Youri Baas) — 1–0 · Watch Tolu Arokodare's goal video (87')
- 90' Goal: A. Ouazane (assist: Tolu Arokodare) — 2–0 · Watch A. Ouazane's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Ajax (4-2-3-1)
Atalanta (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Ajax 41%, the draw 27%, Atalanta 32%. It finished Ajax 2–0 Atalanta.
Home advantage and possession edge Ajax past stronger Atalanta — Our strength rating has Atalanta 63 points higher, but the usual home advantage and Ajax's habit of controlling the ball, with 60% possession to 50 in recent games, give Ajax 41% to Atalanta's 32%. The draw starts near 29% for a gap this size, then drops to 27% because both sides' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Ajax at 41%?
Home ground, against the rating. Atalanta sit 63 points higher on our strength rating — 1745 to 1682. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,422 such games. Ajax hold 10 more possession points (60 to 50 in recent games) across a 63-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,682 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why only 41%?
Because Atalanta are the stronger side on our strength rating. Ajax scored +0.39 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.4% of 1,494 games, vs 27.7% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 17,081. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ajax are 1 game into a new manager (Míchel), appointed 4 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Ajax vs Atalanta final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Ajax 2–0 Atalanta. Explore more on the Ajax and Atalanta team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.

