Match report
Denmark see off Wales with second-half goals in Nations League
Denmark beat Wales 2-0 in a UEFA Nations League League A fixture, moving to three points from two matches while Wales remained without a win. The game was goalless at half-time before Denmark broke through after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Benjamin Davies put through his own net in the 53rd minute to give Denmark the lead, and Gustav Isaksen doubled the advantage in the 66th minute with an assist from Rasmus Højlund, settling the contest at 2-0. Denmark controlled possession throughout and translated their dominance into the two goals that decided the match.
Denmark had 20 shots to Wales's 10 and held 62 percent of possession, underlining their control over the course of the ninety minutes. Wales committed 17 fouls to Denmark's 10 and picked up two yellow cards to Denmark's one, with Willy Delajod the referee for the match.
Isaksen scored the second goal in the 66th minute and finished with a rating of 8.2, the highest of any player in the match.
Denmark's 62 percent share of possession reflected their control over a game in which they scored twice without reply.
Denmark beat Wales 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Denmark met Wales in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2). Kick-off was Sunday, 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC at Parken Stadium. Referee: Willy Delajod.
Team pages: Denmark · Wales · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 53' Goal (own goal): Benjamin Davies — 1–0 · Watch Benjamin Davies's goal video (53')
- 66' Goal: Gustav Isaksen (assist: Rasmus Højlund) — 2–0 · Watch Gustav Isaksen's goal video (66')
Starting line-ups
Denmark (4-2-3-1)
Wales (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Denmark 58%, the draw 23%, Wales 19%. It finished Denmark 2–0 Wales.
Denmark's rating edge carries it — Denmark are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Denmark's 58%. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Denmark at 58%?
Denmark sit 120 points higher on our strength rating — 1810 to 1690. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.8% of 13,271 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 57–21–22.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Wales at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.0% of 16,951. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Denmark (13 fully-tracked matches with us) and Wales (10) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Denmark vs Wales final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Denmark 2–0 Wales. Explore more on the Denmark and Wales team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.

