Match report
Austria cruise past Kosovo to top League B Group 3
Austria beat Kosovo 3-1 in a UEFA Nations League League B - 2 fixture that kept them top of Group 3. David Affengruber opened the scoring in the 23rd minute, finishing off a Romano Schmid assist, and Junior Adamu doubled the lead in first-half stoppage time after Patrick Wimmer's pass, sending the hosts in 2-0 up at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Carney Chukwuemeka added a third for Austria in the 61st minute to put the result beyond real doubt, before Edon Zhegrova pulled one back for Kosovo from the penalty spot in the 83rd minute to make it 3-1, which is how the match finished. The four goals came from a contest Austria largely controlled from the front.
Austria's dominance was reflected across the statistics, with 11 shots to Kosovo's 6 and six efforts on target against just one for the visitors. The win moved Rangnick's side to six points from two games at the top of the group, while Foda's Kosovo remain on three points in second.
Adamu scored the second goal of the night and finished with a rating of 7.84, the highest of any player on the pitch, while Wimmer also impressed by setting up Adamu's strike.
Austria's six shots on target compared with Kosovo's solitary effort underlined how much more clinical the hosts were in front of goal.
Austria beat Kosovo 3–1 (half-time 2–0).
Austria met Kosovo in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 2). Kick-off was Sunday, 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC at Ernst Happel Stadion. Referee: Nick Walsh.
Team pages: Austria · Kosovo · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 23' Goal: David Affengruber (assist: Romano Schmid) — 1–0 · Watch David Affengruber's goal video (23')
- 45+2' Goal: Junior Adamu (assist: Patrick Wimmer) — 2–0 · Watch Junior Adamu's goal video (45+2')
- 61' Goal: Carney Chukwuemeka — 3–0 · Watch Carney Chukwuemeka's goal video (61')
- 83' Goal (penalty): Edon Zhegrova — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Austria (4-2-3-1)
Kosovo (3-4-3)
- 1 Arijanet Murić
- 2 R. Raci
- 4 Ilir Krasniqi
- 5 Lumbardh Dellova
- 13 D. Gallapeni
- 20 Veldin Hodža
- 23 Leon Avdullahu
- 15 Mërgim Vojvoda
- 14 Baton Zabërgja
- 18 Vedat Muriqi
- 17 Ermal Krasniqi
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Austria 67%, the draw 19%, Kosovo 14%. It finished Austria 3–1 Kosovo.
Austria's rating gap decides it — Austria are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Austria's 67%. The draw at 19% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Austria at 67%?
Austria sit 194 points higher on our strength rating — 1820 to 1626. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 6,593 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–17–13.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Kosovo at 14%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 25,150.
What did we measure but not count?
Austria have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than Kosovo in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Austria scored +0.38 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,816 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.5% vs 42.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Austria vs Kosovo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch David Affengruber's goal against Kosovo (23').
- Watch Junior Adamu's goal against Kosovo (45+2').
- Watch Carney Chukwuemeka's goal against Kosovo (61').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Austria 3–1 Kosovo. Explore more on the Austria and Kosovo team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.