Match report
Finland and Belarus play out goalless draw in League C
Finland and Belarus shared a goalless draw at Helsinki Olympic Stadium in a UEFA Nations League League C - 2 fixture, with matchday 2 leaving Friis's side top of the group on four points and Belarus third on one. Neither side found a breakthrough across the ninety minutes, and the sides went in level at the break and stayed that way to the final whistle.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Finland dominated territory, holding 61 percent of possession and forcing eight corners to Belarus's two, but their control did not translate into a clear edge in front of goal. Shots finished level at nine apiece, and Belarus actually had the better share on target with three to Finland's two, reflecting a match in which chances were scarce despite the hosts' greater share of the ball.
The contest was physical without boiling over, with Finland committing 18 fouls to Belarus's 14 and each side picking up two yellow cards, while Dabanovic kept both teams to eleven men throughout. Neither goalkeeper nor either defence was seriously broken down, and the stalemate leaves both sides still searching for their next win in the group.
Goalkeeper Lukáš Hrádecký was Finland's top-rated performer with a 7.3 mark, his display underpinning the clean sheet, while Kalinin was the standout for Belarus in a tight defensive battle.
Finland's 61 percent of possession gave them clear control of the ball without it yielding a breakthrough.
Finland and Belarus drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Finland met Belarus in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 2). Kick-off was Tuesday, 29 September 2026, 16:00 UTC at Helsinki Olympic Stadium. Referee: Nikola Dabanovic.
Team pages: Finland · Belarus · UEFA Nations League
Starting line-ups
Finland (4-3-3)
Belarus (4-4-2)
- 21 Fedor Lapoukhov
- 2 K. Pechenin
- 13 Kirill Gomanov
- 20 Zakhar Volkov (c)
- 5 Vladislav Kalinin
- 7 Artem Shumanskiy
- 9 Max Ebong
- 8 Aleksandr Selyava
- 19 A. Lukashov
- 17 Vitali Lisakovich
- 11 German Barkovskiy
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Finland 58%, the draw 23%, Belarus 19%. It finished Finland 0–0 Belarus.
Finland's rating edge carries it — Finland are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Finland's 58%. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Finland at 58%?
Finland sit 128 points higher on our strength rating — 1595 to 1467. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.8% of 13,275 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 57–26–17.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Belarus at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.0% of 16,964. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Finland have averaged 16 percentage points more possession than Belarus in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Belarus are 1 game into a new manager (V. Goncharenko), appointed 28 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Finland vs Belarus final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Finland 0–0 Belarus. Explore more on the Finland and Belarus team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.