Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
play_arrow6 clips- 12′Bosnia & Herzegovina, goal:0–1assist
- 16′Bosnia & Herzegovina, yellow card:Foul
- 19′Bosnia & Herzegovina, goal:0–2assist
- 28′Romania, goal:1–2assist
- 40′Bosnia & Herzegovina, goal:1–3
- Half-time1 – 3
- 46′Romania, substitution:off
- 46′Romania, substitution:off
- 55′Bosnia & Herzegovina, goal:1–4assist
- 62′Romania, goal:2–4
- 63′Bosnia & Herzegovina, substitution:off
- 63′Bosnia & Herzegovina, substitution:off
- 65′Romania, substitution:off
- 65′Romania, substitution:off
- 74′Bosnia & Herzegovina, substitution:off
- 80′Bosnia & Herzegovina, yellow card:Foul
- 81′Romania, substitution:off
- 81′Bosnia & Herzegovina, substitution:off
- 81′Bosnia & Herzegovina, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 4
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Romania
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Match report
Bosnia & Herzegovina hit four past Romania in Nations League rout
Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Romania 4-2 in a UEFA Nations League League B fixture at Arena Națională, with the visitors racing into a commanding lead before holding off a home revival. The result left Romania winless and pointless after two matches, while Bosnia & Herzegovina moved to four points and second in the group.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The away side struck twice in the opening 19 minutes, Armin Gigović converting an Esmir Bajraktarevic assist in the 12th minute before Tarik Muharemović doubled the lead courtesy of Ivan Bašić. Romania pulled one back through Daniel Bîrligea in the 28th minute, assisted by Lisav Eissat, but Haris Tabaković restored the three-goal cushion just before half-time to make it 1-3 at the break.
Bosnia & Herzegovina stretched their advantage further after the interval when Ermin Mahmić scored in the 55th minute, again teed up by Bajraktarevic, to make it 1-4. Alexandru Cicâldău gave Romania a late measure of respectability with a goal in the 62nd minute, but the hosts could not close the gap any further as the match finished 2-4.
Esmir Bajraktarevic supplied two assists and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.46, setting up both Gigović and Mahmić as Bosnia & Herzegovina's attack tore through Romania.
Bosnia & Herzegovina made their possession count, landing seven of their 15 shots on target compared to Romania's four from 13 attempts.
Bosnia & Herzegovina won 4–2 away against Romania (half-time 1–3).
Romania met Bosnia & Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 2). Kick-off was Monday, 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Arena Națională. Referee: Luis Godinho.
Team pages: Romania · Bosnia & Herzegovina · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Armin Gigović (assist: Esmir Bajraktarevic) — 0–1 · Watch Armin Gigović's goal video (12')
- 19' Goal: Tarik Muharemović (assist: Ivan Bašić) — 0–2 · Watch Tarik Muharemović's goal video (19')
- 28' Goal: Daniel Bîrligea (assist: Lisav Eissat) — 1–2 · Watch Daniel Bîrligea's goal video (28')
- 40' Goal: Haris Tabaković — 1–3 · Watch Haris Tabaković's goal video (40')
- 55' Goal: Ermin Mahmić (assist: Esmir Bajraktarevic) — 1–4 · Watch Ermin Mahmić's goal video (55')
- 62' Goal: Alexandru Cicâldău — 2–4 · Watch Alexandru Cicâldău's goal video (62')
Starting line-ups
Romania (4-3-1-2)
Bosnia & Herzegovina (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Romania 53%, the draw 23%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 24%. It finished Romania 2–4 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Level sides, Romania's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Romania's control of the ball plus Bosnia & Herzegovina's hot finishing due to cool give Romania the lean. The draw at 23% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Romania in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1637 to 1599. Sides this close won 46.1% of 13,619 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 26.8%). Romania hold 7 more possession points (52 to 45 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,111 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. Bosnia & Herzegovina scored +0.66 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 26.9% of 1,426 games, vs 27.7% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 53%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Romania scored +0.43 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 29.1% of 1,439 games, vs 27.3% against normal finishing.
Why is the draw only 23%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 25,155. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw. The hot streak factor takes 1.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Romania have shed 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,527 such games vs 33.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Bosnia & Herzegovina have gained 89 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 11,115 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Armin Gigović's goal against Romania (12').
- Watch Tarik Muharemović's goal against Romania (19').
- Watch Daniel Bîrligea's goal against Bosnia & Herzegovina (28').
- Watch Haris Tabaković's goal against Romania (40').
- Watch Ermin Mahmić's goal against Romania (55').
- Watch Alexandru Cicâldău's goal against Bosnia & Herzegovina (62').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Romania 2–4 Bosnia & Herzegovina. Explore more on the Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.