Greece vs 01.10.26 18:452 – 2Full Time
Netherlands — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Reijnders strikes late as Netherlands snatch draw against Greece
Greece and Netherlands shared four goals in a UEFA Nations League League A fixture at Toumba Stadium, the hosts twice ahead before being pegged back to a 2-2 draw. Ioannidis struck in the 23rd minute, finishing an assist from Masouras, and the pair combined again in first-half stoppage time when Masouras converted Ioannidis's pass to make it 2-0 at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The Netherlands, dominant in possession despite trailing at half-time, pulled one back through Virgil van Dijk in the 59th minute after Joey Veerman supplied the assist. Greece held firm for long stretches but could not see out the result, and Tijjani Reijnders equalised deep into the match, in the 89th minute, to leave the points shared.
Despite controlling 71 percent of possession and producing 19 shots to Greece's 8, Netherlands needed until the closing minutes to find the breakthrough that completed their comeback. The result left Greece top of their group on seven points from three games, with the Netherlands second on five.
Ioannidis scored once and set up Masouras's goal in first-half stoppage time, finishing with a rating of 8.29 to edge out Reijnders, whose late strike salvaged a point for the visitors.
Netherlands dominated territory with 71 percent of possession yet still needed a 89th-minute goal to level the scoring.
Greece and Netherlands drew 2–2 (half-time 2–0).
Greece met Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 1 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Toumba Stadium. Referee: Marco Guida.
Team pages: Greece · Netherlands · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 23' Goal: Fotis Ioannidis (assist: Giorgos Masouras) — 1–0 · Watch Fotis Ioannidis's goal video (23')
- 45' Goal: Giorgos Masouras (assist: Fotis Ioannidis) — 2–0 · Watch Giorgos Masouras's goal video (45')
- 59' Goal: Virgil van Dijk (assist: Joey Veerman) — 2–1 · Watch Virgil van Dijk's goal video (59')
- 89' Goal: Tijjani Reijnders — 2–2 · Watch Tijjani Reijnders's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Greece (4-4-2)
Netherlands (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Greece 21%, the draw 21%, Netherlands 58%. It finished Greece 2–2 Netherlands.
Netherlands' rating gap outweighs Greece's home ground — Netherlands are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Netherlands' 58%. The draw at 21% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Netherlands at 58%?
Netherlands sit 247 points higher on our strength rating — 1729 to 1977. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.6% of 5,919 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 22–25–53.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Greece at 21%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,776. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Netherlands have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Greece in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Netherlands are 2 games into a new manager (Xavi), appointed 30 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Greece vs Netherlands final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Fotis Ioannidis's goal against Netherlands (23').
- Watch Giorgos Masouras's goal against Netherlands (45').
- Watch Virgil van Dijk's goal against Greece (59').
- Watch Tijjani Reijnders's goal against Greece (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Greece 2–2 Netherlands. Explore more on the Greece and Netherlands team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.