Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Karaköprü Belediyespor — Türkiye Kupası: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 1′Gençlerbirliği S.K., goal:1–0
- 13′Gençlerbirliği S.K., own goal:2–0Own goal
- 29′Gençlerbirliği S.K., goal:3–0
- Half-time3 – 0
- 84′Gençlerbirliği S.K., goal:4–0assist
- 90+2′Gençlerbirliği S.K., goal:5–0assist
- Full-time5 – 0
Match report
Gençlerbirliği S.K. cruise past Karaköprü Belediyespor in five-goal Türkiye Kupası win
Gençlerbirliği S.K. beat Karaköprü Belediyespor 5-0 in the third round of the Türkiye Kupası, scoring within the first minute and never being troubled thereafter. Pedro Mendes struck in the 1st minute to put the hosts ahead, and the lead was doubled in the 13th minute when Muhammed Yavaş turned the ball into his own net.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cheikh Niasse made it 3-0 in the 29th minute, and the margin at half-time was already beyond the visitors' reach. The second half was quieter in terms of goals, with nothing added until the 84th minute, when F. Ayaz Ozcan finished from Rafael Luís's assist for the fourth.
Victor Orakpo completed the scoring in the 90+2 minute, converting a delivery from P. Martor. The result ended a run of 7 games without a win for Gençlerbirliği S.K., who had lost four of their previous five matches. Their next game is at home to Alanyaspor in the Süper Lig on Monday 2 November.
Pedro Mendes opened the scoring in the very first minute, setting the tone for a comfortable home win.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. beat Karaköprü Belediyespor 5–0 (half-time 3–0).
Gençlerbirliği S.K. met Karaköprü Belediyespor in the Türkiye Kupası (3rd Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 29 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.
Team pages: Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Karaköprü Belediyespor · Türkiye Kupası
Key moments
- 1' Goal: Pedro Mendes — 1–0
- 13' Goal (own goal): Muhammed Yavaş — 2–0
- 29' Goal: Cheikh Niasse — 3–0
- 84' Goal: F. Ayaz Ozcan (assist: Rafael Luís) — 4–0
- 90+2' Goal: Victor Orakpo (assist: P. Martor) — 5–0
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gençlerbirliği S.K. 65%, the draw 22%, Karaköprü Belediyespor 13%. It finished Gençlerbirliği S.K. 5–0 Karaköprü Belediyespor.
Strength rating gives Gençlerbirliği a clear lead — We give Gençlerbirliği 65%, mainly because they sit 136 points higher on our strength rating, 1466 to 1329, with home advantage adding to it. The draw sits at 22%, starting from the usual 25% for a gap this size and nudged down by the cup-tie setting and both sides' recent scoring.
Why Gençlerbirliği S.K. at 65%?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 136 points higher on our strength rating — 1466 to 1329. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,364 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Gençlerbirliği S.K. carry a 136-point rating edge over Karaköprü Belediyespor, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. Karaköprü Belediyespor have fewer than 25 rated matches, and their strength estimate began at our default starting value. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–21–16.
Why only 65%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 65% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Karaköprü Belediyespor at 13%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,234. Cup ties across divisions take 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 3 games into a new manager (Bernd Storck), appointed 19 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Karaköprü Belediyespor arrive with 7 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Gençlerbirliği S.K. bring a 232-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Karaköprü Belediyespor final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Türkiye Kupası fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Karaköprü Belediyespor team pages or the Türkiye Kupası page.