Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow5 clips- 9′Palmeiras, yellow card:Foul
- 44′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:Persistent fouling
- Half-time
- 46′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 47′Palmeiras, goal:1–0assist
- 50′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:Argument
- 51′Palmeiras, penalty goal:2–0Penalty
- 56′Palmeiras, goal:3–0assist
- 58′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 58′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 65′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 65′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 70′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 71′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 71′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 72′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 83′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:Foul
- 83′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 89′Palmeiras, goal:4–0assist
- 90′Vasco DA Gama, goal:4–1
- Full-time4 – 1
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Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Match report
Palmeiras rout Vasco DA Gama 4-1 to stretch lead at top
Palmeiras eased to a 4-1 win over Vasco DA Gama at Nubank Parque in matchday 24 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that reinforced their position at the top of the table. The match was goalless at half-time before the hosts took full control after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
José López broke the deadlock two minutes into the second half, finishing off an assist from Allan. Vitor Roque doubled the lead from the penalty spot in the 51st minute, and Maurício made it three shortly after, converting a chance created by Andreas Pereira in the 56th minute. López added his second and Palmeiras' fourth in the 89th minute, teed up by Jhon Arias.
Vasco DA Gama grabbed a consolation deep into stoppage time when Facundo Colidio scored in the fourth added minute, but it did little to change the complexion of a match Palmeiras had dominated throughout, with 57 percent possession and 12 shots to their opponents' nine.
José López scored twice, including the goal that opened the scoring three minutes into the second half, and finished with a match-high rating of 8.2.
Palmeiras' 1.6 expected goals figure, more than double Vasco DA Gama's 0.77, underlined how much more incisive the home side were in front of goal.
Palmeiras beat Vasco DA Gama 4–1 (half-time 0–0).
Palmeiras met Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 24). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Nubank Parque. Referee: Braulio da Silva Machado. Attendance: 36,382.
Team pages: Palmeiras · Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 47' Goal: José López (assist: Allan) — 1–0 · Watch José López's goal video (47')
- 51' Goal (penalty): Vitor Roque — 2–0 · Watch Vitor Roque's goal video (51')
- 56' Goal: Maurício (assist: Andreas Pereira) — 3–0 · Watch Maurício's goal video (56')
- 89' Goal: José López (assist: Jhon Arias) — 4–0 · Watch José López's goal video (89')
- 90' Goal: Facundo Colidio — 4–1 · Watch Facundo Colidio's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Palmeiras (3-4-1-2)
Vasco DA Gama (4-1-4-1)
- 1 Léo Jardim
- 66 Cuiabano
- 30 Robert Renan
- 46 Carlos Cuesta
- 96 Paulo Henrique
- 5 Santiago Sosa
- 11 Andrés Gómez
- 23 Thiago Mendes (c)
- 3 Tchê Tchê
- 28 Adson
- 7 David
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Palmeiras 77%, the draw 20%, Vasco DA Gama 3%. It finished Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama.
Palmeiras' rating gap decides it — Palmeiras are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Palmeiras. The draw at 20% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Palmeiras at 77%?
Palmeiras sit 310 points higher on our strength rating — 1905 to 1595. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.7% of 5,082 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,407 games vs 44.9% across all 99,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 74–18–8.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 77% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Vasco DA Gama at 3%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,635. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vasco DA Gama have shed 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.6% of 9,645 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Palmeiras 5 wins, 0 draws, Vasco DA Gama 1 win. Most recently Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Palmeiras, 5 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5051 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch José López's goal against Vasco DA Gama (47').
- Watch Vitor Roque's goal against Vasco DA Gama (51').
- Watch Maurício's goal against Vasco DA Gama (56').
- Watch José López's goal against Vasco DA Gama (89').
- Watch Facundo Colidio's goal against Palmeiras (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama. Explore more on the Palmeiras and Vasco DA Gama team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.