Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 12′Sao Paulo, yellow card:
- 38′Sao Paulo, VAR review:Card upgrade
- 39′Sao Paulo, red card:
- 45+1′Palmeiras, goal:1–0assist
- 45+4′Palmeiras, yellow card:
- 45+5′Palmeiras, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 46′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 46′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 50′Palmeiras, goal:2–0assist
- 64′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 64′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 64′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 67′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 67′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 76′Palmeiras, yellow card:
- 76′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 77′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 85′Palmeiras, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 0
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Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Match report
Palmeiras cruise past ten-man Sao Paulo at Allianz Parque
Palmeiras beat Sao Paulo 2-0 at Allianz Parque in Brasileirão Série A matchday 27, a result that stretched the leaders further clear at the top of the table. The visitors were reduced to ten men before half-time, and Abel Ferreira's side made the numerical advantage count either side of the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Osorio Luis saw red in the 39th minute, leaving Sao Paulo to play the remainder of the match a man short. Palmeiras struck right on the stroke of half-time, Murilo converting from a Gustavo Gómez assist to make it 1-0 at the break. Five minutes into the second half, Vitor Roque doubled the advantage, finishing off a Khellven assist to put the hosts firmly in control.
Palmeiras dominated possession at 57 percent and fired 19 shots to Sao Paulo's eight, seven of them on target compared to just two for the away side, a reflection of their control over long spells with the extra man. The win moved Palmeiras to 56 points from 27 games at the summit, while Sao Paulo remain tenth with 33 points from 26 matches.
Andreas Pereira was among the home side's standout contributors, finishing with a rating of 7.57 as Palmeiras took control after Sao Paulo's dismissal, while Ferreira impressed for the visitors despite the defeat with a rating of 7.66.
Sao Paulo's ten men still committed 12 fouls to Palmeiras' 21, though it was the hosts who ultimately dictated the contest with 57 percent of the ball.
Palmeiras beat Sao Paulo 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Palmeiras met Sao Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 27). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 21:30 UTC at Nubank Parque. Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein. Attendance: 29,866.
Team pages: Palmeiras · Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 39' Red card: Osorio Luis
- 45+1' Goal: Murilo (assist: Gustavo Gómez) — 1–0 · Watch Murilo's goal video (45+1')
- 50' Goal: Vitor Roque (assist: Khellven) — 2–0 · Watch Vitor Roque's goal video (50')
Starting line-ups
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1)
Sao Paulo (5-4-1)
- 31 Carlos Coronel
- 18 Wendell
- 54 Osorio Luis
- 2 Rafael Tolói
- 28 Newton
- 27 Victor Sá
- 11 Ferreira
- 29 Pablo Maia
- 48 D. Ferreira
- 80 Cauly
- 17 André Silva
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Palmeiras 71%, the draw 22%, Sao Paulo 7%. It finished Palmeiras 2–0 Sao Paulo.
Palmeiras' rating gap decides it — Palmeiras are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Palmeiras. The draw at 22% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Palmeiras at 71%?
Palmeiras sit 264 points higher on our strength rating — 1915 to 1651. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.1% of 5,992 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,436 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 69–19–12.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 71% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Sao Paulo at 7%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,797. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Sao Paulo are winless in their last 10 league games away from home (2 draws, 8 defeats), a run going back to March 2026. A long road winless run reads like a warning, but the receipts don't treat it as one: visitors on a 6+ league run without an away win won 25.8% of 13,651 games vs 24.9% class-expected — slightly more, not fewer. Palmeiras are missing 3 regular starters — Marlon Freitas, Joaquín Piquerez, Alexander Barboza — about 29% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Palmeiras 2–0 Sao Paulo. Explore more on the Palmeiras and Sao Paulo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.