Flamengo vs 20.09.26 21:302 – 1Full Time
RB Bragantino — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Flamengo hold off Bragantino fightback to stay top of the table
Flamengo beat RB Bragantino 2-1 at the Estádio do Maracanã in matchday 28 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that kept Leonardo Jardim's side at the summit of the table. The home side led at the break and had to withstand a late scare before closing out the contest.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Guillermo Varela opened the scoring in the 13th minute, finishing off a Jorge Carrascal assist to put Flamengo ahead, and that single goal proved enough to see the hosts into the interval in front. The lead held firm for over an hour before Pedro doubled the advantage in the 71st minute, converting a pass from Jorginho to make it 2-0.
Bragantino, managed by Mancini Vagner, pulled a goal back in the 86th minute when Bruno Henrique turned the ball into his own net, cutting the deficit to 2-1 and setting up a nervy finish. Flamengo, dominant for long spells with two-thirds of possession, saw out the remaining minutes to secure the points and extend their advantage at the top.
Carrascal was involved in the opening goal with an assist for Varela and finished as the top-rated performer on the pitch with a mark of 7.63, with Pedro and Jorginho also contributing a goal and an assist respectively in the win.
Flamengo controlled the ball for 66% of the match, underlining how thoroughly they dictated the tempo against their visitors.
Flamengo beat RB Bragantino 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Flamengo met RB Bragantino in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 28). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 21:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. Referee: Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima.
Team pages: Flamengo · RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Guillermo Varela (assist: Jorge Carrascal) — 1–0
- 71' Goal: Pedro (assist: Jorginho) — 2–0
- 86' Goal (own goal): Bruno Henrique — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Flamengo (4-2-3-1)
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Flamengo 73%, the draw 22%, RB Bragantino 5%. It finished Flamengo 2–1 RB Bragantino.
Flamengo's rating gap decides it — Flamengo are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Flamengo. The draw at 22% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Flamengo at 73%?
Flamengo sit 276 points higher on our strength rating — 1925 to 1649. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 6,009 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,451 games vs 44.9% across all 100,474 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–19–10.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 73% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and RB Bragantino at 5%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,886. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Flamengo have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than RB Bragantino in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Flamengo are missing 2 regular starters — Samuel Lino, Erick Pulgar — about 20% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Flamengo vs RB Bragantino final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Flamengo 2–1 RB Bragantino. Explore more on the Flamengo and RB Bragantino team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Flamengo vs RB Bragantino?
Flamengo beat RB Bragantino 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Flamengo vs RB Bragantino?
Guillermo Varela (13') for Flamengo; Pedro (71') for Flamengo; Bruno Henrique (86') (own goal) for RB Bragantino.
›Where can I watch Flamengo vs RB Bragantino highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Flamengo 2–1 RB Bragantino are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and RB Bragantino?
Flamengo and RB Bragantino have met 10 times — 5 wins for Flamengo, 3 wins for RB Bragantino and 2 draws.