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Match report
Mirassol beat Botafogo 2-0 in a Brasileirão Série A round 28 fixture at José Maria de Campos Maia, with both goals arriving in the first half to settle the contest early.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Eduardo opened the scoring in the 16th minute, converting an assist from Igor Formiga to put the home side ahead. He struck again deep into first-half stoppage time, in the 45+2nd minute, doubling Mirassol's lead to 2-0 at the interval. Botafogo were unable to find a way back in the second half, and the scoreline held to full time.
The match was tightly contested for long spells, with possession shared evenly at 50 per cent apiece and both sides registering 12 shots. Mirassol were the sharper side in front of goal, however, putting seven shots on target compared with Botafogo's five, a difference that proved decisive on the day.
Willian Machado edged the top rating of the match at 8.25, though it was Eduardo who did the damage on the scoresheet with both goals in a 8.22-rated display, with Igor Formiga's assist also among the standout contributions.
Mirassol's superior accuracy told, with seven shots on target against Botafogo's five despite an even shot count overall.
Mirassol beat Botafogo 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Mirassol met Botafogo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 28). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 20:00 UTC at José Maria de Campos Maia. Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima.
Team pages: Mirassol · Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A
Before kick-off Sirius gave Mirassol 45%, the draw 31%, Botafogo 24%. It finished Mirassol 2–0 Botafogo.
Home ground outweighs Botafogo's rating edge — Botafogo are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Mirassol's control of the ball plus Brasileirão Série A home advantage give Mirassol the lean. The draw at 31% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Home ground, against the rating. Botafogo sit 70 points higher on our strength rating — 1657 to 1727. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,648 such games. Mirassol hold 5 more possession points (51 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,225 games, vs 43.9% when styles were level. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,446 games vs 44.9% across all 100,303 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Because Botafogo are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 31% and Botafogo at 24%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,851. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.6 points to the draw.
Botafogo are 1 game into a new manager (Tite), appointed 2 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Mirassol are missing 2 regular starters — João Victor, Denilson — about 26% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Mirassol vs Botafogo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Mirassol 2–0 Botafogo. Explore more on the Mirassol and Botafogo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Mirassol beat Botafogo 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Eduardo (16') for Mirassol; Eduardo (45+2') for Mirassol.
Goal highlights and video clips from Mirassol 2–0 Botafogo are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Mirassol and Botafogo have met 3 times — 0 wins for Mirassol, 1 win for Botafogo and 2 draws.