Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 44′Chapecoense-sc, goal:0–1Tulio Eduardo
- Half-time0 – 1
- 48′Atletico-MG, yellow card:
- 58′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 58′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 58′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 69′Atletico-MG, goal:1–1assist
- 71′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:offTulio Eduardo
- 71′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:offDudu
- 81′Atletico-MG, yellow card:
- 81′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 82′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 82′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 88′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 90′Chapecoense-sc, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Match report
Atletico-MG draw 1-1 with Chapecoense-sc despite dominating at MRV Arena
Atletico-MG and Chapecoense-sc shared a 1-1 draw on Matchday 28 of the Brasileirão Série A at the MRV Arena, with 35,844 in attendance. The hosts controlled the contest from start to finish but were made to wait until the 69th minute for an equaliser after trailing at the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Chapecoense-sc took the lead against the run of play in the 44th minute, Tulio Eduardo scoring from a Dudu assist to make it 0-1. That goal came from a side that had managed only a handful of attempts, and it sent the visitors in at half-time ahead.
Atletico-MG pressed after the restart and levelled when Mateo Cassierra scored from a Bernard assist in the 69th minute. Neither side found a winner. The home side finished with 66% of possession and 26 shots to 7, while the visitors held on for a point that left them 20th and Atletico-MG seventh.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 17% chance. Atletico-MG's next game was not listed in the match data.
Chapecoense-sc's Anderson posted the highest rating of the match at 8.28 despite his side being pinned back for long spells. Bernard, rated 7.98, supplied the assist for Atletico-MG's equaliser.
Atletico-MG had 11 shots on target to one for Chapecoense-sc, yet scored only once.
Atletico-MG and Chapecoense-sc drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Atletico-MG met Chapecoense-sc in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 28). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at MRV Arena. Referee: Raphael Claus. Attendance: 35,844.
Team pages: Atletico-MG · Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 44' Goal: Tulio Eduardo (assist: Dudu) — 0–1 · Watch Tulio Eduardo's goal video (44')
- 69' Goal: Mateo Cassierra (assist: Bernard) — 1–1 · Watch Mateo Cassierra's goal video (69')
Starting line-ups
Atletico-MG (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Gabriel Delfim
- 36 K. Pascini
- 14 Vitor Hugo
- 40 Vitão
- 2 Natanael
- 5 Alexsander
- 8 Maycon
- 11 Bernard
- 7 Fred
- 28 Tomás Cuello
- 27 Alan Minda
Chapecoense-sc (4-2-3-1)
- 98 Anderson
- 91 Bruno Pacheco
- 3 Eduardo Doma
- 21 Kauan Faria
- 23 Dudu
- 88 Yago Felipe
- 27 Camilo
- 31 Garcez
- 10 Giovanni Augusto
- 7 Marcinho
- 9 Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico-MG 80%, the draw 17%, Chapecoense-sc 3%. It finished Atletico-MG 1–1 Chapecoense-sc.
Atletico-MG's rating gap decides it — Atletico-MG are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Atletico-MG. The draw at 17% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Atletico-MG at 80%?
Atletico-MG sit 364 points higher on our strength rating — 1725 to 1361. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,139 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,446 games vs 44.9% across all 100,303 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 77–14–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 80% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Chapecoense-sc at 3%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 13.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,851. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Atletico-MG average 12 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 364 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Atletico-MG are missing their first-choice keeper and 1 more regular starter — Ruan Tressoldi, Everson — about 33% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Tulio Eduardo's goal against Atletico-MG (44').
- Watch Mateo Cassierra's goal against Chapecoense-sc (69').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico-MG 1–1 Chapecoense-sc. Explore more on the Atletico-MG and Chapecoense-sc team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.

