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play_arrow1 clip- 3′Flamengo, yellow card:
- 41′Bahia, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 48′Flamengo, yellow card:
- 51′Bahia, yellow card:
- 64′Flamengo, penalty goal:0–1Penaltyassist
- 65′Bahia, substitution:off
- 65′Bahia, substitution:off
- 65′Bahia, substitution:off
- 68′Flamengo, substitution:off
- 73′Flamengo, goal:0–2assist
- 75′Flamengo, substitution:off
- 75′Bahia, substitution:off
- 75′Bahia, substitution:off
- 76′Flamengo, substitution:off
- 78′Flamengo, goal:0–3assist
- 83′Flamengo, substitution:off
- 83′Flamengo, substitution:off
- 86′Bahia, yellow card:
- 89′Bahia, yellow card:
- Full-time0 – 3
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Bahia
Flamengo
Match report
Flamengo beat Bahia 3-0 to extend lead at the top
Flamengo won 3-0 at Bahia's Arena Fonte Nova on Matchday 31 of the Brasileirão Série A, scoring all three goals in a 14-minute spell in the second half. The match was goalless at the interval, with the visitors needing until the 64th minute to find a way through.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came from the penalty spot, Jorginho converting after Guillermo Varela created the opening. Gonzalo Plata doubled the lead in the 73rd minute, finishing from Samuel Lino's assist, and Lucas Paquetá completed the scoring in the 78th minute with another Varela assist. Bahia never recovered after falling behind.
The result lifted Flamengo from second to first, on 67 points from 31 games, 18 points clear of seventh-placed Bahia, who stayed on 49. Flamengo are now unbeaten in 8 games. Their next fixture is at home to Atletico-MG in the Série A on Monday 26 October, while Bahia travel to Santos.
Jorge Carrascal earned the highest rating among Flamengo's performers at 8.55, though the best mark of the match, 8.71, went to Bahia's Ronaldo in defeat.
Flamengo had 15 shots on target to Bahia's 3, a gap that reflected how one-sided the second half became.
Flamengo won 3–0 away against Bahia (half-time 0–0).
Bahia met Flamengo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at Arena Fonte Nova. Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio. Attendance: 47,199.
Team pages: Bahia · Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 64' Goal (penalty): Jorginho (assist: Guillermo Varela) — 0–1
- 73' Goal: Gonzalo Plata (assist: Samuel Lino) — 0–2
- 78' Goal: Lucas Paquetá (assist: Guillermo Varela) — 0–3 · Watch Lucas Paquetá's goal video (78')
Starting line-ups
Bahia (5-3-2)
Flamengo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bahia 30%, the draw 27%, Flamengo 43%. It finished Bahia 0–3 Flamengo.
Flamengo's strength edge, trimmed by a strong home advantage — Flamengo lead because our strength rating has them 174 points higher, 1720 to 1546, though home sides in the Brasileirão Série A tend to out-perform the norm, which pulls Bahia closer. The draw sits at 27%, up from a usual 25% for a gap this size, mainly because draws come a little more often in this competition.
Why Flamengo at 43%?
Flamengo sit 174 points higher on our strength rating — 1720 to 1546. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,700 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–25–52.
Why only 43%?
Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,483 games vs 44.6% across all 101,389 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Bahia sit -0.42 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,538 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,356. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
With 8 rounds left, both still have something to play for — Bahia are 2 points off the top four, Flamengo 2 points off top spot. Two-motivated run-ins have leaned slightly to stalemates in our corpus, but the measured cell (3573 games so far) hasn't cleared our evidence bar — noted at 0 points. Bahia are unbeaten in their last 8 home Brasileirão Série A games: 5 wins and 3 draws. The run began on 17 May 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 10 May 2026 — Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro. Latest home league result: 11 October 2026 — Bahia 1–0 Mirassol. Across 13,735 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bahia vs Flamengo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bahia 0–3 Flamengo. Explore more on the Bahia and Flamengo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.