Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUOL EsporteYouTubeMatch Events
- 7′Botafogo, goal:1–0assist
- 14′Chapecoense-sc, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 55′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 62′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:offTulio Eduardo
- 62′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 65′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 66′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 76′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 76′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 82′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 88′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
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Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Match report
Botafogo edge Chapecoense-sc 1-0 despite shots dominance
Botafogo beat Chapecoense-sc 1-0 at the Estádio Nilton Santos on matchday 31 of the Brasileirão Série A, Tiquinho Soares scoring the only goal in the seventh minute. Matheus Martins supplied the assist, and the lead lasted the rest of the match without any further goal at either end.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side had the better of the contest for long periods, finishing with 20 shots to 9 and putting 11 on target to none for Chapecoense-sc. Their expected goals figure of 2.44 against 0.24 reflected how rarely the visitors threatened, yet Botafogo could not add a second and the game stayed in the balance until the end.
The win ended a run of three games without a victory for Botafogo, who had drawn 1-1 at Coritiba last time out, and lifted them to 11th place on 39 points. Chapecoense-sc have now lost three games in a row and remain 20th on 18 points, 21 points behind their opponents. Both sides play on Saturday 24 October in the Brasileirão Série A: Botafogo are away to Internacional, while Chapecoense-sc host Fluminense.
Anderson, listed for Chapecoense-sc, earned the highest rating of any player at 8.74 in a losing side. Alex Telles (8.02) and goalscorer Tiquinho Soares (7.66) were the next best rated, both for Botafogo.
Chapecoense-sc failed to register a single shot on target, while Botafogo had 11.
Botafogo beat Chapecoense-sc 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Botafogo met Chapecoense-sc in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 21:00 UTC at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Referee: Raphael Claus. Attendance: 23,306.
Team pages: Botafogo · Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 7' Goal: Tiquinho Soares (assist: Matheus Martins) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Botafogo (4-2-3-1)
Chapecoense-sc (4-4-2)
- 98 Anderson
- 91 Bruno Pacheco
- 3 Eduardo Doma
- 21 Kauan Faria
- 20 Bruno Tubarão
- 12 Fernando
- 27 Camilo
- 88 Yago Felipe
- 31 Garcez
- 9 Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
- 10 Giovanni Augusto
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Botafogo 69%, the draw 20%, Chapecoense-sc 11%. It finished Botafogo 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.
Botafogo's strength edge, backed by home advantage — We give Botafogo 69% mainly because they sit 203 points higher on our strength rating, 1512 to 1308, and home sides in Brasileirão Série A tend to do better than the global norm. The draw sits at 20%, starting from the usual 19% for a gap this size and nudged up by the competition's higher draw rate.
Why Botafogo at 69%?
Botafogo sit 203 points higher on our strength rating — 1512 to 1308. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,583 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,479 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–19–17.
Why only 69%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 69% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Chapecoense-sc at 11%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Botafogo are 4 games into a new manager (Tite), appointed 30 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Out: Marcinho, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Botafogo 1–0 Chapecoense-sc. Explore more on the Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.