Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsTNT Sports BrasilYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow5 clips- 1′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:
- 22′Atletico Paranaense, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 46′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 46′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 55′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- 61′Vasco DA Gama, own goal:1–1Own goal
- 63′Vasco DA Gama, goal:1–2assist
- 67′Vasco DA Gama, goal:1–3assist
- 69′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 69′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 75′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 75′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 77′Atletico Paranaense, red card:
- 86′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 87′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 89′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 90+2′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:
- 90+4′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Match report
Vasco DA Gama stage second-half fightback to beat Atletico Paranaense 3-1
Vasco DA Gama came from a goal down to win 3-1 at Atletico Paranaense in a Brasileirão Série A Matchday 34 fixture at the Arena da Baixada, scoring three times in the space of seven minutes after the interval to turn the game around.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Atletico Paranaense led at half-time through Stiven Mendoza, who struck in the 22nd minute from a Luiz Gustavo assist. The hosts had the better of the early exchanges, but the lead was never extended and the visitors found their way back into the contest after the restart.
The turnaround began in the 61st minute, when Juan Aguirre put through his own net to make it 1-1. Two minutes later Bruno Duarte put Vasco in front from José Rodríguez's assist, and in the 67th Gabriel Pereira made it 3-1 from a Facundo Colidio assist. Kevin Viveros was sent off for Atletico Paranaense in the 77th minute, and neither side scored after that.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Vasco DA Gama a 23% chance of winning. Vasco go on to face Palmeiras at home in the Copa Do Brasil on Sunday 8 November, while Atletico Paranaense travel to Flamengo in the league on Wednesday 18 November.
Gabriel Pereira scored Vasco's third goal in the 67th minute and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 7.72. Stiven Mendoza, who gave the hosts their early lead, was the next best rated at 7.5.
Atletico Paranaense had 15 shots to Vasco's 7, yet finished on the losing side.
Vasco DA Gama won 3–1 away against Atletico Paranaense (half-time 1–0).
Atletico Paranaense met Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off was Wednesday, 4 November 2026, 22:30 UTC at Arena da Baixada. Referee: Ramon Abatti.
Team pages: Atletico Paranaense · Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Stiven Mendoza (assist: Luiz Gustavo) — 1–0 · Watch Stiven Mendoza's goal video (22')
- 61' Goal (own goal): Juan Aguirre — 1–1 · Watch Juan Aguirre's goal video (61')
- 63' Goal: Bruno Duarte (assist: José Rodríguez) — 1–2 · Watch Bruno Duarte's goal video (63')
- 67' Goal: Gabriel Pereira (assist: Facundo Colidio) — 1–3 · Watch Gabriel Pereira's goal video (67')
- 77' Red card: Kevin Viveros
Starting line-ups
Atletico Paranaense (3-4-2-1)
- 1 Mycael
- 4 Arthur Dias
- 33 Juan Aguirre
- 25 Dantas
- 37 Lucas Esquivel
- 14 Luiz Gustavo (c)
- 16 Jádson
- 29 Gastón Benavídez
- 18 Kerwin Vargas
- 7 Stiven Mendoza
- 9 Kevin Viveros
Vasco DA Gama (3-5-2)
- 1 Léo Jardim
- 30 Robert Renan
- 4 Alan Saldivia
- 55 Gabriel Pereira
- 66 Cuiabano
- 23 Thiago Mendes (c)
- 5 Santiago Sosa
- 22 Alan Lescano
- 2 José Rodríguez
- 20 Brenner
- 11 Andrés Gómez
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico Paranaense 51%, the draw 26%, Vasco DA Gama 23%. It finished Atletico Paranaense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama.
Strong home advantage gives Atletico Paranaense the edge — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, 1538 to 1516, so Atletico Paranaense lead mainly through home advantage, which runs strong for all home sides in the Brasileirão Série A. The draw starts near 28% for evenly matched sides, but high-scoring recent games, averaging 3.2 goals, pull it down to 26%.
Why Atletico Paranaense in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1538 to 1516. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,586 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.3% of 4,511 games vs 44.6% across all 108,387 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 51%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 26% and Vasco DA Gama at 23%.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,720. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Atletico Paranaense scored +0.41 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.4% of 1,686 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing. With 5 rounds left, both still have something to play for — Atletico Paranaense are level on points with 5th, Vasco DA Gama 2 points above the drop. Two-motivated run-ins have leaned slightly to stalemates in our corpus, but the measured cell (4609 games so far) hasn't cleared our evidence bar — noted at 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Stiven Mendoza's goal against Vasco DA Gama (22').
- Watch Juan Aguirre's own goal video (61').
- Watch Bruno Duarte's goal against Atletico Paranaense (63').
- Watch Gabriel Pereira's goal against Atletico Paranaense (67').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico Paranaense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama. Explore more on the Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.