Vitoria vs Fluminense — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow1 clip- 15′Fluminense, goal:0–1assist
- 42′Fluminense, goal:0–2assist
- 44′Vitoria, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 63′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 69′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 69′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 78′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 79′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 80′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 80′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 84′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 86′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 88′Vitoria, yellow card:
- 90′Fluminense, goal:0–3assist
- Full-time0 – 3
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Vitoria
Fluminense
Match report
Fluminense cruise to 3-0 win at Vitoria
Fluminense won 3-0 at Vitoria's Barradao in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 34, a result that left the visitors fourth in the table with 57 points. Vitoria stayed 15th on 38 points, 19 points behind Fluminense.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jefferson Savarino opened the scoring in the 15th minute, meeting an Agustín Canobbio assist to make it 1-0 to the visitors. Canobbio then got on the scoresheet himself in the 42nd minute, finishing from a Nonato assist to make it 2-0 at the break.
Vitoria enjoyed more of the ball, with 56 per cent possession, but struggled to turn it into a response. Rodrigo Castillo settled matters in the 90th minute, again set up by Nonato, to complete the scoring. Vitoria had also gone into the game after a 2-0 defeat at Coritiba.
Fluminense next travel to Sao Paulo in Brasileirão Série A, while Vitoria host RB Bragantino on Thursday 19 November in the same competition.
Nonato was involved in two of the three goals, providing the assists for Canobbio's strike and Castillo's late goal, and earned the top rating of 8.5. Canobbio scored once and set up Savarino's opener.
Vitoria were booked twice and Fluminense not at all, while Fluminense's side committed 19 fouls to the home side's 13.
Fluminense won 3–0 away against Vitoria (half-time 0–2).
Vitoria met Fluminense in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off was Friday, 6 November 2026, 23:00 UTC at Barradao. Referee: Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima.
Team pages: Vitoria · Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Jefferson Savarino (assist: Agustín Canobbio) — 0–1
- 42' Goal: Agustín Canobbio (assist: Nonato) — 0–2
- 90' Goal: Rodrigo Castillo (assist: Nonato) — 0–3 · Watch Rodrigo Castillo's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Vitoria (4-1-4-1)
- 1 Lucas Arcanjo (c)
- 83 Jamerson
- 36 Luan Cândido
- 25 Cacá
- 98 Mateusinho
- 95 Caíque
- 10 Matheuzinho
- 6 Emmanuel Martínez
- 44 Gabriel Baralhas
- 33 Erick
- 91 Rene
Fluminense (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Fábio
- 6 Renê
- 22 Juan Freytes
- 3 Thiago Silva (c)
- 23 Guga
- 16 Nonato
- 35 Hércules
- 11 Jefferson Savarino
- 32 Luciano Acosta
- 17 Agustín Canobbio
- 7 Hulk
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vitoria 37%, the draw 28%, Fluminense 35%. It finished Vitoria 0–3 Fluminense.
Home edge offsets Fluminense's stronger rating — Our strength rating has Fluminense 131 points higher, but Vitoria's usual home advantage, plus home sides doing especially well across the Brasileirão Série A, edges Vitoria narrowly in front at 37% to 35%. The draw sits at 28%, starting from the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged up by the league's draw rate and slightly down by typical scoring.
Why Vitoria at 37%?
Home ground, against the rating. Fluminense sit 131 points higher on our strength rating — 1578 to 1448. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.3% of 4,517 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 37%?
Because Fluminense are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and Fluminense at 35%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.5 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Fluminense have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than Vitoria in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Fluminense scored +0.60 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,264 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 40.9% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Vitoria vs Fluminense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Vitoria 0–3 Fluminense. Explore more on the Vitoria and Fluminense team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.