RB Bragantino vs Santos — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow2 clips- 4′RB Bragantino, own goal:1–0Own goal
- 20′Santos, yellow card:
- 37′Santos, goal:1–1assist
- 41′RB Bragantino, goal:2–1assist
- 45′RB Bragantino, yellow card:
- 45+1′Santos, yellow card:
- Half-time2 – 1
- 57′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 59′Santos, substitution:off
- 68′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 68′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 69′Santos, substitution:off
- 79′Santos, substitution:off
- 79′Santos, yellow card:
- 79′Santos, substitution:off
- 79′Santos, substitution:off
- 80′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 80′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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RB Bragantino
Santos
Match report
RB Bragantino edge Santos 2-1 in Brasileirão Série A
RB Bragantino beat Santos 2-1 in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 34, with all three goals arriving before half-time. The home side went ahead in the fourth minute through an own goal by Rodinei, which gave them the lead they would take into the break and ultimately hold.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Santos levelled in the 37th minute. Gabriel Barbosa supplied the pass and Philippe Coutinho finished to make it 1-1. The equaliser stood for only four minutes, however, because Wallace Yan restored Bragantino's advantage in the 41st minute from a delivery by Henry Mosquera.
The second half produced no goals. Santos held 62% of the possession and had 17 shots to 15, with five on target apiece, but could not find another way through. Bragantino also won seven corners to five. The result lifted Bragantino from ninth to eighth in the table, and they finished the night level on 47 points with Santos, who dropped from eighth to ninth.
Santos next travel to Coritiba in Brasileirão Série A on Wednesday 18 November, while Bragantino are away to Vitoria in the same competition on Thursday 19 November.
Philippe Coutinho scored Santos' goal and earned the match's highest rating among the listed performers, 8.13. Gabriel Barbosa set it up with the assist.
Santos had 62% of the possession but still lost the match.
RB Bragantino beat Santos 2–1 (half-time 2–1).
RB Bragantino met Santos in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off was Monday, 2 November 2026, 23:00 UTC at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques. Referee: Edina Alves Batista. Attendance: 7,780.
Team pages: RB Bragantino · Santos · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 4' Goal (own goal): Rodinei — 1–0 · Watch Rodinei's goal video (4')
- 37' Goal: Philippe Coutinho (assist: Gabriel Barbosa) — 1–1
- 41' Goal: Wallace Yan (assist: Henry Mosquera) — 2–1 · Watch Wallace Yan's goal video (41')
Starting line-ups
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Santos (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave RB Bragantino 42%, the draw 30%, Santos 28%. It finished RB Bragantino 2–1 Santos.
Home advantage edges Bragantino past stronger Santos — Santos sit 55 points higher on our strength rating, but RB Bragantino's home advantage, which runs strong for all home sides in the Brasileirão Série A, gives them a slight lean at 42% to 28%. The draw sits at 30%, starting from the usual 29% for a gap this size and nudged up by the competition's usual draw rate.
Why RB Bragantino at 42%?
Home ground, against the rating. Santos sit 55 points higher on our strength rating — 1571 to 1517. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,146 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.3% of 4,508 games vs 44.6% across all 108,349 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 42%?
Because Santos are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 30% and Santos at 28%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Santos win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,298. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Gonzalo Escobar, Lucas Veríssimo, and Neymar, important players, and Willian Arão, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Out: Gabriel Brazão, an important player and Santos's first-choice goalkeeper. In the past games we have checked, a missing first-choice goalkeeper made no measurable difference, so this stays at 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the RB Bragantino vs Santos final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from RB Bragantino 2–1 Santos. Explore more on the RB Bragantino and Santos team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.