Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 19′Portland Timbers, goal:0–1assist
- 41′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 49′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Portland Timbers, goal:0–2assist
- 60′Portland Timbers, goal:0–3assist
- 63′Portland Timbers, goal:0–4
- 64′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 64′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 64′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 73′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 73′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 82′Seattle Sounders, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 84′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 87′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 87′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 87′Seattle Sounders, goal:1–4assist
- 90′Portland Timbers, goal:1–5assist
- 90+1′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 5
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Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
Match report
Portland Timbers thrash Seattle Sounders 5-1 on the road
Portland Timbers ran riot at Lumen Field, beating Seattle Sounders 5-1 in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 17 fixture. K. Kelsy opened the scoring in the 19th minute, assisted by J. Fory, and the Timbers held that lead into the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors then took control of the second half. Kamal Miller doubled the lead in the 56th minute with help from Brandon Bye, and four minutes later Cole Bassett made it 3-0, teed up by David Pereira da Costa. Kelsy struck again in the 63rd minute to put Portland 4-0 ahead without reply.
Seattle finally got on the scoresheet through Hassani Dotson in the 87th minute, assisted by Albert Rusnák, but any hope of a comeback was snuffed out deep into stoppage time when A. Aravena, set up again by Pereira da Costa, completed the scoring in the 90+8th minute to make it 5-1.
Kamal Miller earned the highest rating of the match at 8.7, scoring once as part of Portland's second-half surge.
Portland's 2.24 expected-goals reading, more than four times Seattle's 0.55, underlined their dominance in front of goal.
Portland Timbers won 5–1 away against Seattle Sounders (half-time 0–1).
Seattle Sounders met Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 16). Kick-off was Friday, 17 July 2026, 02:30 UTC at Lumen Field. Referee: Rosendo Mendoza.
Team pages: Seattle Sounders · Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 19' Goal: Kevin Kelsy (assist: Jimer Fory) — 0–1 · Watch Kevin Kelsy's goal video (19')
- 56' Goal: Kamal Miller (assist: Brandon Bye) — 0–2
- 60' Goal: Cole Bassett (assist: David Da Costa) — 0–3
- 63' Goal: Kevin Kelsy — 0–4
- 87' Goal: Hassani Dotson (assist: Albert Rusnák) — 1–4
- 90' Goal: Alexander Aravena (assist: David Da Costa) — 1–5 · Watch Alexander Aravena's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
Portland Timbers (4-1-4-1)
- 41 James Pantemis
- 27 Jimer Fory
- 4 Kamal Miller
- 20 Finn Surman
- 5 Brandon Bye
- 21 Diego Chará (c)
- 11 Antony
- 10 David Da Costa
- 17 Cole Bassett
- 7 Ariel Lassiter
- 19 Kevin Kelsy
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Seattle Sounders 75%, the draw 19%, Portland Timbers 6%. It finished Seattle Sounders 1–5 Portland Timbers.
Seattle Sounders' rating gap decides it — Seattle Sounders are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus their cold finishing due to recover on top make it one-sided for Seattle Sounders. The draw at 19% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Seattle Sounders at 75%?
Seattle Sounders sit 237 points higher on our strength rating — 1719 to 1483. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.1% of 5,861 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,019 games vs 44.9% across all 98,173 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Seattle Sounders sit -0.37 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,303 such games where the class table expected 36.1%. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–21–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 75% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Portland Timbers at 6%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,564.
What did we measure but not count?
Portland Timbers scored +0.37 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,697 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.2% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Seattle Sounders are missing 3 regular starters — Alexander Roldan, Cristian Roldan, Yeimar Gómez — about 34% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Kevin Kelsy's goal against Seattle Sounders (19').
- Watch Alexander Aravena's goal against Seattle Sounders (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Seattle Sounders 1–5 Portland Timbers. Explore more on the Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers team pages or the Major League Soccer page.