Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 20′Orlando City SC, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Nashville SC, substitution:off
- 53′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 65′Nashville SC, substitution:off
- 65′Nashville SC, substitution:off
- 70′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 70′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 72′Orlando City SC, goal:1–0assist
- 76′Nashville SC, substitution:off
- 85′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 85′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 90+5′Nashville SC, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Match report
Orlando City stun league leaders Nashville with late Spicer strike
Orlando City SC beat Nashville SC 1-0 in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 17 fixture at Exploria Stadium, ending a game that stayed scoreless until well into the second half. The result was a significant upset given Nashville arrived top of the table while Orlando sat 20th, with Oscar Pareja's side snapping their visitors' momentum.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 72nd minute when T. Spicer converted an assist from Justin Ellis to make it 1-0, and the hosts held that advantage to the final whistle. Orlando pressed for much of the contest, generating the game's clearer chances, while Nashville, unbeaten in five matches coming in, could not find a route back into the game.
Orlando controlled possession at 52 percent and outshot Nashville 11 to 3, with three shots on target against Nashville's one, reflecting the home side's greater territorial control on the night. Referee Ramy Touchan booked one Orlando player, with no cards shown to Nashville and no dismissals on either side.
Brian Schwake was rated the match's top performer at 7.43 despite Nashville's defeat, with Jack Maher also posting a strong figure of 7.24 for the visitors. Antoine Griezmann led the way for Orlando with a rating of 7.2.
Orlando's 11 shots to Nashville's 3 underlined how much more incisive the home side were in the final third.
Orlando City SC beat Nashville SC 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Orlando City SC met Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 17). Kick-off was Saturday, 25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC at Exploria Stadium. Referee: Ramy Touchan.
Team pages: Orlando City SC · Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 72' Goal: Tyrese Spicer (assist: Justin Ellis) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Orlando City SC (4-4-2)
Nashville SC (4-3-3)
- 99 Brian Schwake
- 31 Andy Najar
- 5 Jack Maher
- 3 Maxwell Woledzi
- 22 Josh Bauer
- 19 Alex Muyl
- 16 Matthew Corcoran
- 6 Bryan Acosta
- 10 Hany Mukhtar (c)
- 9 Sam Surridge
- 14 Shak Mohammed
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Orlando City SC 36%, the draw 26%, Nashville SC 38%. It finished Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC.
Nashville SC's rating edge outweighs Orlando City SC's home ground — Nashville SC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Nashville SC the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Nashville SC at 38%?
Nashville SC sit 129 points higher on our strength rating — 1597 to 1726. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,938 such games. Nashville SC hold 7 more possession points (55 to 48 in recent games) across a 129-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,536 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–32–40.
Why only 38%?
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,039 games vs 44.9% across all 98,308 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,708. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Orlando City SC scored +0.75 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,710 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Nashville SC scored +0.96 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC. Explore more on the Orlando City SC and Nashville SC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.