St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 12′Colorado Rapids, red card:
- 17′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 25′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:Foul
- 45+3′St. Louis City, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 46′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 55′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 58′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 68′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 76′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 76′St. Louis City, substitution:P. Aultoff
- 83′St. Louis City, goal:1–0assist
- 87′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 87′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 90+6′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
Match report
Late Ostrák strike sinks 10-man Colorado Rapids at CITYPARK
St. Louis City secured a 1-0 win over Colorado Rapids in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 17 fixture at CITYPARK, with the only goal arriving late on after the visitors had spent most of the match a man light.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The contest was shaped early when Robert Holding was sent off for Colorado Rapids in the 12th minute, leaving Matt Wells' side to defend for over an hour with ten men. Despite dominating possession and territory, St. Louis City could not find a breakthrough before half-time, with the score level at 0-0 at the interval.
The deadlock finally broke in the 83rd minute when T. Ostrák converted, assisted by T. Totland, to make it 1-0. Colorado Rapids, already reduced in numbers and struggling to threaten going forward, could not respond, and St. Louis City saw out the remaining minutes to claim all three points.
Timo Baumgartl was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.9 mark despite not registering a goal or assist, while T. Ostrák backed up his rating of 7.7 by scoring the decisive goal in the 83rd minute.
St. Louis City's dominance was underlined by a 66% to 34% share of possession over their ten-man opponents.
St. Louis City beat Colorado Rapids 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
St. Louis City met Colorado Rapids in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 17). Kick-off was Sunday, 26 July 2026, 00:30 UTC at CITYPARK. Referee: Nabil Bensalah.
Team pages: St. Louis City · Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 12' Red card: Rob Holding
- 83' Goal: Tomáš Ostrák (assist: Tomas Totland) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
St. Louis City (3-4-3)
Colorado Rapids (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave St. Louis City 46%, the draw 29%, Colorado Rapids 25%. It finished St. Louis City 1–0 Colorado Rapids.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage gives St. Louis City the lean. The draw at 29% is up from the usual 26.5% between sides this level, as small adjustments add up.
Why St. Louis City in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1559 to 1517. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,392 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,039 games vs 44.9% across all 98,308 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Colorado Rapids hold 7 more possession points (57 to 50 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.4% across 5,507 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Colorado Rapids win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,399. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Louis City are missing their first-choice keeper and 2 more regular starters — Roman Bürki, Christopher Durkin, Dante Polvara — about 43% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from St. Louis City 1–0 Colorado Rapids. Explore more on the St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids team pages or the Major League Soccer page.